TORONTO
RAPTORSTOR
32-23 | Road
110
CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
24-31 | Home
101
AI Model Win Probability
RAPTORS
100%
BULLS
0%
RAPTORS
--
BULLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
227.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CHI -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)
TOR By 1-7 points
24.3%
TOR By 8-14 points
13.7%
CHI By 1-7 points
26.2%
CHI By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Toronto
113
TORONTO
Chicago
114
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Toronto
110
TORONTO
Chicago
118
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bulls
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulls
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulls (+6)
Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Bulls (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u233.5
Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Sim
u233.5
Win
Proj Total: 228.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 18, 2026
TOR @ CHI
139 - 109
Feb 19, 2026
TOR @ CHI
110 - 101
Feb 5, 2026
CHI @ TOR
107 - 123
Apr 1, 2025
TOR @ CHI
118 - 137
Feb 28, 2025
TOR @ CHI
115 - 125
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+1.6%
Chicago: 82.9%
vs
Toronto: 81.3%
Blocks (L5)
+17.9% more
Toronto: 6.9
vs
Chicago: 5.6
Assists (L5)
+10.5% more
Toronto: 27.3
vs
Chicago: 24.4
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.5%
Toronto: 47.3%
vs
Chicago: 44.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TOR Score
113.0
110
CHI Score
114.0
101
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.6 / 35.6
30.0 / 30.0
Assists
24.4 / 27.3
22.0 / 23.0
Blocks
5.6 / 6.9
5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
44.8 / 47.3
42.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
82.9 / 81.3
81.0 / 87.0
Rebounding
38.1 / 41.3
46.0 / 46.0
Steals
9.4 / 8.9
6.0 / 14.0
Turnovers
15.5 / 14.8
23.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TOR
Advantage
49-40-0
(55.1%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TOR
Advantage
46-43-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
CHI
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4%
Total +/-: -1.8
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
TOR
CHI
TOR
ML
56%
54-42
55%
57-47
57%
46-35
55%
48-39
ATS
65%
62-33-1
61%
62-40-2
57%
46-35
55%
48-39
TTL
58%
56-40
60%
62-42
100%
81-0
100%
87-0
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