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NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL

EAGLESNCCU

10-14  |  Road

72
FINAL
Wed, Feb 18 • 8:00 PM ET
Smith-Hammond-Middleton Memorial Center
View Odds Details →

SOUTH CAROLINA STATE

BULLDOGSSCST

6-18  |  Home

85
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
📊
BULLDOGS
0%
EAGLES --
BULLDOGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
128.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (South Carolina State)
EaglesNCCU (-3.5) 0 BulldogsSCST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

15.9%

Bulldogs Cover

84.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SCST -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SCST)

NCCU By 1-7 points

10.7%

NCCU By 8-14 points

3.3%

SCST By 1-7 points

23.0%

SCST By 8-14 points

27.2%

AI Model Projected Score
59
NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL
69
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE
Simulated Score
68
NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL
74
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bulldogs Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs (+3) Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim Bulldogs (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u137.5 Loss
Proj Total: 128.0
D
Sim u137.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 5, 2026 SCST @ NCCU 80 - 64
Feb 18, 2026 NCCU @ SCST 72 - 85
Mar 14, 2025 NCCU @ SCST 67 - 88
Mar 6, 2025 NCCU @ SCST 71 - 87
Jan 25, 2025 SCST @ NCCU 77 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +24.6% more
South Carolina State: 9.0 vs North Carolina Central: 7.2
Turnovers (L5) +10.1% more
South Carolina State: 13.6 vs North Carolina Central: 12.3
Rebounding (L5) +14.0% more
North Carolina Central: 33.0 vs South Carolina State: 28.3
Blocks (L5) +13.4% more
North Carolina Central: 6.3 vs South Carolina State: 5.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NCCU Score 59.0 72
SCST Score 69.0 85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 28.8 / 39.1 45.0 / 40.0
Assists 11.8 / 12.0 24.0 / 13.0
Blocks 5.5 / 6.3 2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 39.4 / 45.4 54.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 64.4 / 68.7 88.0 / 58.0
Rebounding 28.3 / 33.0 26.0 / 27.0
Steals 9.0 / 7.2 6.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 13.6 / 12.3 9.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
37%MONEY63%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
34%MONEY66%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
53%MONEY47%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NCCU Advantage
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: -3.6 ATS +/-: -1.9
SCST
10-22-0 (31.3%)
Margin: -11.7 ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NCCU Advantage
15-13-0 (53.6%)
Margin: -3.6 ATS +/-: -1.9
SCST
13-16-1 (44.8%)
Margin: -11.7 ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
NCCU
13-15-0
O: 46.4% / U: 53.6% Total +/-: +2.1
SCST
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SCST
NCCU
SCST
NCCU
ML
61% 19-12
65% 20-11
74% 20-7
81% 22-5
ATS
68% 21-10
71% 22-9
74% 20-7
81% 22-5
TTL
52% 16-15
55% 17-14
100% 27-0
100% 27-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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