WEST GEORGIA
WOLVESWGA
12-14 | Road
80
EASTERN KENTUCKY
COLONELSEKU
9-18 | Home
81
AI Model Win Probability
WOLVES
0%
COLONELS
100%
WOLVES
--
COLONELS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
160.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
WEST GEORGIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (West Georgia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WGA -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WGA)
WGA By 1-7 points
10.7%
WGA By 8-14 points
21.6%
EKU By 1-7 points
2.7%
EKU By 8-14 points
0.5%
AI Model Projected Score
West Georgia
89
WEST GEORGIA
Eastern Kentucky
71
EASTERN KENTUCKY
Simulated Score
West Georgia
70
WEST GEORGIA
Eastern Kentucky
75
EASTERN KENTUCKY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Wolves
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Colonels
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Wolves (+5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim
Colonels (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o155.5
Win
Proj Total: 160.0
D
Sim
u155.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 18, 2026
WGA @ EKU
80 - 81
Jan 3, 2026
EKU @ WGA
76 - 88
Feb 13, 2025
WGA @ EKU
73 - 95
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+46.8% more
West Georgia: 4.7
vs
Eastern Kentucky: 2.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.6%
West Georgia: 35.2%
vs
Eastern Kentucky: 28.6%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.9%
West Georgia: 45.4%
vs
Eastern Kentucky: 42.6%
Steals (L5)
+25.7% more
Eastern Kentucky: 8.2
vs
West Georgia: 6.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WGA Score
89.0
80
EKU Score
71.0
81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.6 / 35.2
27.0 / 26.0
Assists
12.9 / 14.0
19.0 / 17.0
Blocks
2.5 / 4.7
4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
42.6 / 45.4
42.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
65.3 / 65.6
67.0 / 50.0
Rebounding
34.9 / 35.8
44.0 / 43.0
Steals
8.2 / 6.5
8.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
10.4 / 9.8
12.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WGA
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: +1.1
EKU
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -1.6
ATS +/-: -3.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WGA
Advantage
21-9-0
(70.0%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: +1.1
EKU
10-19-1
(34.5%)
Margin: -1.6
ATS +/-: -3.7
⚖️ Over/Under
WGA
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +2.2
EKU
19-11-0
O: 63.3% / U: 36.7%
Total +/-: +4.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EKU
WGA
EKU
WGA
ML
44%
14-18
58%
18-13
69%
22-10
61%
19-12
ATS
56%
18-14
71%
22-9
69%
22-10
61%
19-12
TTL
53%
17-15
55%
17-14
100%
32-0
100%
31-0
