AI Model Win Probability
HOKIES
0%
HURRICANES
100%
HOKIES
--
HURRICANES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
VIRGINIA TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (Virginia Tech)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around VT -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VT)
VT By 1-7 points
9.3%
VT By 8-14 points
20.1%
MIA By 1-7 points
2.2%
MIA By 8-14 points
0.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Virginia Tech
82
VIRGINIA TECH
Miami
63
MIAMI
Simulated Score
Virginia Tech
68
VIRGINIA TECH
Miami
72
MIAMI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Hokies
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hurricanes
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Hokies (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim
Hurricanes (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 17, 2026
VT @ MIA
66 - 67
Feb 22, 2025
VT @ MIA
81 - 68
Jan 4, 2025
MIA @ VT
85 - 86
Feb 3, 2024
VT @ MIA
74 - 82
Jan 13, 2024
MIA @ VT
75 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+24.2%
Virginia Tech: 83.1%
vs
Miami: 58.9%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+15.1%
Virginia Tech: 41.8%
vs
Miami: 26.7%
Turnovers (L5)
+14.8% more
Virginia Tech: 11.5
vs
Miami: 9.8
Blocks (L5)
+85.1% more
Miami: 3.4
vs
Virginia Tech: 1.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VT Score
82.0
66
MIA Score
63.0
67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
26.7 / 41.8
25.0 / 40.0
Assists
12.4 / 11.9
7.0 / 20.0
Blocks
3.4 / 1.8
1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
49.5 / 44.8
44.0 / 50.0
Free Throw %
58.9 / 83.1
69.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
39.0 / 29.6
33.0 / 31.0
Steals
6.5 / 5.0
6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
9.8 / 11.5
10.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
VT
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +1.4
MIA
Advantage
26-9-0
(74.3%)
Margin: 10.3
ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
VT
Advantage
17-14-1
(54.8%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +1.4
MIA
18-15-1
(54.6%)
Margin: 10.3
ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
VT
17-15-0
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9%
Total +/-: +3.6
MIA
21-12-1
O: 63.6% / U: 36.4%
Total +/-: +0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIA
VT
MIA
VT
ML
63%
22-13
53%
17-15
64%
21-12
72%
23-9
ATS
63%
22-13
59%
19-13
64%
21-12
72%
23-9
TTL
63%
22-13
69%
22-10
100%
33-0
100%
32-0