Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Cardinals @ Bobcats BALL @ OHIO

BALL STATE

CARDINALSBALL

8-17  |  Road

57
FINAL
Tue, Feb 17 • 7:00 PM ET
Convocation Center (OH)
View Odds Details →

OHIO

BOBCATSOHIO

13-13  |  Home

69
AI Model Win Probability
CARDINALS
100%
📊
BOBCATS
0%
CARDINALS --
BOBCATS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
OHIO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (Ohio)
CardinalsBALL (-3.5) 0 BobcatsOHIO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cardinals Cover

2.3%

Bobcats Cover

97.7%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around OHIO -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OHIO)

BALL By 1-7 points

1.7%

BALL By 8-14 points

0.3%

OHIO By 1-7 points

8.0%

OHIO By 8-14 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
63
BALL STATE
83
OHIO
Simulated Score
69
BALL STATE
82
OHIO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bobcats Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bobcats Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bobcats (-9.5) Win
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim Bobcats (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o144.5 Loss
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim u144.5 Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 17, 2026 BALL @ OHIO 57 - 69
Jan 16, 2026 OHIO @ BALL 71 - 76
Jan 14, 2025 BALL @ OHIO 71 - 86
Feb 6, 2024 OHIO @ BALL 84 - 79
Mar 9, 2023 OHIO @ BALL 90 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +90.6% more
Ohio: 4.3 vs Ball State: 2.2
Assists (L5) +19.1% more
Ohio: 14.0 vs Ball State: 11.7
Field Goal % (L5) +9.6%
Ohio: 46.9% vs Ball State: 37.3%
Steals (L5) +43.6% more
Ball State: 8.3 vs Ohio: 4.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BALL Score 63.0 57
OHIO Score 83.0 69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.4 / 30.2 38.0 / 28.0
Assists 14.0 / 11.7 12.0 / 8.0
Blocks 4.3 / 2.2 3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 46.9 / 37.3 42.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 70.8 / 71.9 81.0 / 57.0
Rebounding 32.0 / 31.4 34.0 / 35.0
Steals 4.7 / 8.3 4.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 8.9 / 11.3 8.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
13%MONEY87%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
64%MONEY36%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
72%MONEY28%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BALL
12-19-0 (38.7%)
Margin: -2.0 ATS +/-: +0.3
OHIO Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BALL Advantage
14-14-1 (50.0%)
Margin: -2.0 ATS +/-: +0.3
OHIO
12-18-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
BALL
9-19-1
O: 32.1% / U: 67.9% Total +/-: -6.2
OHIO
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OHIO
BALL
OHIO
BALL
ML
65% 20-11
43% 13-17
63% 19-11
62% 18-11
ATS
68% 21-10
67% 20-10
63% 19-11
62% 18-11
TTL
61% 19-12
50% 15-15
100% 30-0
100% 29-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Kerr Kriisa Pleads Guilty to Wire Fraud, Admits Demanding $9,000…
bleacherreport 1 hour, 20 minutes ago
Kerr Kriisa Pleads Guilty to Wire Fraud in $9,000 Scheme
wsls 1 hour, 32 minutes ago
Big Ten Commissioner Tony Petitti Denies Any Expansion Talks Ami…
saturdaydownsouth 7 hours, 34 minutes ago
Aiden Tobiason Brings Sharpshooting and Playmaking to Syracuse B…
si 7 hours, 37 minutes ago
CareSource Invitational Turns Tennis Center into Basketball Show…
wcpo 20 hours, 18 minutes ago