Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Gamecocks @ Gators SC @ FLA

SOUTH CAROLINA

GAMECOCKSSC

11-14  |  Road

62
FINAL
Tue, Feb 17 • 7:00 PM ET
Stephen C. O'Connell Center
View Odds Details →

FLORIDA

GATORSFLA

19-6  |  Home

76
AI Model Win Probability
GAMECOCKS
100%
📊
GATORS
0%
GAMECOCKS --
GATORS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
178.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Florida)
GamecocksSC (-3.5) 0 GatorsFLA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Gamecocks Cover

27.4%

Gators Cover

72.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around FLA -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)

SC By 1-7 points

16.9%

SC By 8-14 points

6.8%

FLA By 1-7 points

26.8%

FLA By 8-14 points

24.3%

AI Model Projected Score
86
SOUTH CAROLINA
92
FLORIDA
Simulated Score
69
SOUTH CAROLINA
72
FLORIDA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Gators Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Gators Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Gators (+23) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim Gators (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o155.0 Loss
Proj Total: 178.0
D
Sim u155.0 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 17, 2026 SC @ FLA 62 - 76
Jan 28, 2026 FLA @ SC 95 - 48
Feb 15, 2025 SC @ FLA 67 - 88
Jan 22, 2025 FLA @ SC 70 - 69
Mar 2, 2024 FLA @ SC 76 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +108.6% more
Florida: 4.6 vs South Carolina: 2.2
Rebounding (L5) +55.3% more
Florida: 44.9 vs South Carolina: 28.9
Assists (L5) +41.7% more
Florida: 16.6 vs South Carolina: 11.7
Steals (L5) +32.7% more
Florida: 8.6 vs South Carolina: 6.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SC Score 86.0 62
FLA Score 92.0 76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.3 / 23.6 26.0 / 21.0
Assists 16.6 / 11.7 16.0 / 8.0
Blocks 4.6 / 2.2 1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 48.0 / 39.4 47.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 72.0 / 83.2 72.0 / 70.0
Rebounding 44.9 / 28.9 47.0 / 30.0
Steals 8.6 / 6.5 5.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 10.5 / 8.7 14.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
6%TICKETS94%
11%MONEY89%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
25%TICKETS75%
34%MONEY66%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
98%MONEY2%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SC
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-: -1.0
FLA Advantage
27-8-0 (77.1%)
Margin: 15.6 ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SC
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-: -1.0
FLA Advantage
18-17-0 (51.4%)
Margin: 15.6 ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
SC
14-16-2
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: +1.6
FLA
14-20-1
O: 41.2% / U: 58.8% Total +/-: -1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FLA
SC
FLA
SC
ML
77% 27-8
72% 23-9
63% 22-13
68% 21-10
ATS
69% 24-11
69% 22-10
63% 22-13
68% 21-10
TTL
63% 22-13
50% 16-16
100% 35-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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