GEORGIA
BULLDOGSUGA
17-8 | Road
86
KENTUCKY
WILDCATSUK
17-8 | Home
78
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
0%
WILDCATS
100%
BULLDOGS
--
WILDCATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
155.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-53.0
GEORGIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +53.0 points (Georgia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UGA -53.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UGA)
UGA By 1-7 points
0.0%
UGA By 8-14 points
0.0%
UK By 1-7 points
0.0%
UK By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Georgia
104
GEORGIA
Kentucky
51
KENTUCKY
Simulated Score
Georgia
69
GEORGIA
Kentucky
78
KENTUCKY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bulldogs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wildcats
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bulldogs (-6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -53.0
D
Sim
Wildcats (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u160.5
Loss
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Sim
u160.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 17, 2026
UGA @ UK
86 - 78
Jan 7, 2025
UK @ UGA
69 - 82
Jan 20, 2024
UGA @ UK
96 - 105
Feb 11, 2023
UK @ UGA
68 - 75
Jan 17, 2023
UGA @ UK
71 - 85
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+1.7%
Georgia: 70.5%
vs
Kentucky: 68.8%
Blocks (L5)
+29.7% more
Kentucky: 4.4
vs
Georgia: 3.4
Assists (L5)
+12.8% more
Kentucky: 14.1
vs
Georgia: 12.5
Rebounding (L5)
+10.3% more
Kentucky: 36.1
vs
Georgia: 32.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UGA Score
104.0
86
UK Score
51.0
78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.3 / 30.6
40.0 / 45.0
Assists
14.1 / 12.5
13.0 / 20.0
Blocks
4.4 / 3.4
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
45.9 / 45.5
46.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
68.8 / 70.5
60.0 / 74.0
Rebounding
36.1 / 32.7
43.0 / 36.0
Steals
6.5 / 6.5
3.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
10.6 / 10.6
13.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UGA
Advantage
22-11-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 9.6
ATS +/-: +0.3
UK
22-14-0
(61.1%)
Margin: 6.2
ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UGA
15-17-1
(46.9%)
Margin: 9.6
ATS +/-: +0.3
UK
Advantage
18-18-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 6.2
ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
UGA
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: +4.9
UK
18-18-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UK
UGA
UK
UGA
ML
71%
25-10
67%
22-11
72%
23-9
56%
18-14
ATS
83%
29-6
61%
20-13
72%
23-9
56%
18-14
TTL
63%
22-13
64%
21-12
100%
32-0
100%
32-0
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