NEBRASKA
CORNHUSKERSNEB
22-3 | Road
52
IOWA
HAWKEYESIOWA
18-7 | Home
57
AI Model Win Probability
CORNHUSKERS
0%
HAWKEYES
100%
CORNHUSKERS
--
HAWKEYES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
164.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
NEBRASKA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Nebraska)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NEB -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NEB)
NEB By 1-7 points
10.7%
NEB By 8-14 points
21.6%
IOWA By 1-7 points
2.7%
IOWA By 8-14 points
0.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Nebraska
91
NEBRASKA
Iowa
73
IOWA
Simulated Score
Nebraska
70
NEBRASKA
Iowa
78
IOWA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cornhuskers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hawkeyes
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Cornhuskers (-1)
Loss
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim
Hawkeyes (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o139.5
Loss
Proj Total: 164.0
D
Sim
u139.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 26, 2026
IOWA @ NEB
77 - 71
Mar 8, 2026
IOWA @ NEB
75 - 84
Feb 17, 2026
NEB @ IOWA
52 - 57
Mar 9, 2025
IOWA @ NEB
83 - 68
Jan 7, 2025
NEB @ IOWA
87 - 97
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+66.4% more
Nebraska: 3.0
vs
Iowa: 1.0
Turnovers (L5)
+48.8% more
Nebraska: 12.5
vs
Iowa: 6.4
Steals (L5)
+36.8% more
Nebraska: 7.9
vs
Iowa: 5.0
Assists (L5)
+28.4% more
Nebraska: 18.2
vs
Iowa: 13.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NEB Score
91.0
52
IOWA Score
73.0
57
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.4 / 39.3
26.0 / 21.0
Assists
13.0 / 18.2
5.0 / 10.0
Blocks
1.0 / 3.0
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
44.6 / 45.4
33.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
72.6 / 77.2
94.0 / 79.0
Rebounding
28.0 / 35.1
37.0 / 24.0
Steals
5.0 / 7.9
4.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
6.4 / 12.5
12.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NEB
Advantage
28-7-0
(80.0%)
Margin: 10.8
ATS +/-: +2.6
IOWA
24-13-0
(64.9%)
Margin: 8.3
ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NEB
19-15-1
(55.9%)
Margin: 10.8
ATS +/-: +2.6
IOWA
Advantage
21-16-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 8.3
ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
NEB
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6%
Total +/-: -6.7
IOWA
20-17-0
O: 54.1% / U: 46.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IOWA
NEB
IOWA
NEB
ML
59%
22-15
51%
18-17
78%
28-8
62%
21-13
ATS
76%
28-9
54%
19-16
78%
28-8
62%
21-13
TTL
57%
21-16
63%
22-13
100%
36-0
100%
34-0
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