Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Badgers @ Buckeyes WIS @ OSU

WISCONSIN

BADGERSWIS

18-7  |  Road

69
FINAL
Tue, Feb 17 • 8:30 PM ET
Value City Arena
View Odds Details →

OHIO STATE

BUCKEYESOSU

16-9  |  Home

86
AI Model Win Probability
BADGERS
100%
📊
BUCKEYES
0%
BADGERS --
BUCKEYES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
138.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-32.0
OHIO STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +32.0 points (Ohio State)
BadgersWIS (-3.5) 0 BuckeyesOSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Badgers Cover

0.1%

Buckeyes Cover

99.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around OSU -32.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OSU)

WIS By 1-7 points

0.1%

WIS By 8-14 points

0.0%

OSU By 1-7 points

0.6%

OSU By 8-14 points

3.3%

AI Model Projected Score
53
WISCONSIN
85
OHIO STATE
Simulated Score
70
WISCONSIN
72
OHIO STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Buckeyes Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Buckeyes Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Buckeyes (-1) Win
Proj Spread: -32.0
D
Sim Buckeyes (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u157.5 Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Sim u157.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 17, 2026 WIS @ OSU 69 - 86
Jan 31, 2026 OSU @ WIS 82 - 92
Jan 14, 2025 OSU @ WIS 68 - 70
Feb 13, 2024 OSU @ WIS 54 - 62
Jan 10, 2024 WIS @ OSU 71 - 60
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +55.3% more
Ohio State: 9.7 vs Wisconsin: 6.3
Field Goal % (L5) +1.6%
Ohio State: 46.3% vs Wisconsin: 44.7%
Assists (L5) +22.7% more
Wisconsin: 15.3 vs Ohio State: 11.8
Rebounding (L5) +18.3% more
Wisconsin: 36.3 vs Ohio State: 29.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WIS Score 53.0 69
OSU Score 85.0 86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.4 / 39.7 52.0 / 27.0
Assists 11.8 / 15.3 16.0 / 13.0
Blocks 2.9 / 3.0 2.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 46.3 / 44.7 54.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 78.4 / 78.1 68.0 / 50.0
Rebounding 29.7 / 36.3 35.0 / 27.0
Steals 5.5 / 5.6 3.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 9.7 / 6.3 14.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
74%MONEY26%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
79%TICKETS21%
66%MONEY34%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
26%MONEY74%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WIS Advantage
24-11-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 6.9 ATS +/-: +1.1
OSU
21-13-0 (61.8%)
Margin: 6.7 ATS +/-: +1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WIS Advantage
20-15-0 (57.1%)
Margin: 6.9 ATS +/-: +1.1
OSU
17-16-1 (51.5%)
Margin: 6.7 ATS +/-: +1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
WIS
22-13-0
O: 62.9% / U: 37.1% Total +/-: +3.5
OSU
16-18-0
O: 47.1% / U: 52.9% Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OSU
WIS
OSU
WIS
ML
53% 18-16
60% 21-14
73% 24-9
69% 24-11
ATS
59% 20-14
51% 18-17
73% 24-9
69% 24-11
TTL
56% 19-15
57% 20-15
100% 33-0
100% 35-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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