GEORGE WASHINGTON
REVOLUTIONARIESGW
15-11 | Road
75
VCU
RAMSVCU
20-6 | Home
89
AI Model Win Probability
REVOLUTIONARIES
100%
RAMS
0%
REVOLUTIONARIES
--
RAMS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
168.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-50.0
VCU
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +50.0 points (VCU)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around VCU -50.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VCU)
GW By 1-7 points
0.0%
GW By 8-14 points
0.0%
VCU By 1-7 points
0.0%
VCU By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
George Washington
59
GEORGE WASHINGTON
VCU
109
VCU
Simulated Score
George Washington
64
GEORGE WASHINGTON
VCU
72
VCU
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rams
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rams
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rams (-6)
Win
Proj Spread: -50.0
D
Sim
Rams (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o161.5
Win
Proj Total: 168.0
D
Sim
u161.5
Win
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 17, 2026
GW @ VCU
75 - 89
Feb 12, 2025
VCU @ GW
80 - 72
Jan 6, 2024
GW @ VCU
84 - 82
Mar 4, 2023
VCU @ GW
74 - 68
Jan 11, 2022
GW @ VCU
57 - 84
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+157.5% more
VCU: 5.8
vs
George Washington: 2.3
Rebounding (L5)
+11.4% more
VCU: 40.0
vs
George Washington: 35.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.2%
VCU: 35.7%
vs
George Washington: 33.5%
Steals (L5)
+27.9% more
George Washington: 7.8
vs
VCU: 5.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
GW Score
59.0
75
VCU Score
109.0
89
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.7 / 33.5
39.0 / 35.0
Assists
14.2 / 15.5
17.0 / 11.0
Blocks
5.8 / 2.3
5.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
45.3 / 45.8
52.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
73.4 / 77.7
74.0 / 65.0
Rebounding
40.0 / 35.9
32.0 / 34.0
Steals
5.6 / 7.8
9.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
11.5 / 12.5
8.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GW
19-16-0
(54.3%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -0.2
VCU
Advantage
28-8-0
(77.8%)
Margin: 9.1
ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GW
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -0.2
VCU
Advantage
18-18-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 9.1
ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
GW
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: -0.4
VCU
16-20-0
O: 44.4% / U: 55.6%
Total +/-: -0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VCU
GW
VCU
GW
ML
72%
26-10
63%
22-13
67%
22-11
60%
21-14
ATS
81%
29-7
69%
24-11
67%
22-11
60%
21-14
TTL
58%
21-15
60%
21-14
100%
33-0
100%
35-0
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