Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / RedHawks @ Minutemen M-OH @ MASS

MIAMI (OH)

REDHAWKSM-OH

25-0  |  Road

86
FINAL
Tue, Feb 17 • 7:00 PM ET
Mullins Center
View Odds Details →

MASSACHUSETTS

MINUTEMENMASS

15-11  |  Home

77
AI Model Win Probability
REDHAWKS
100%
📊
MINUTEMEN
0%
REDHAWKS --
MINUTEMEN --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
156.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-28.0
MASSACHUSETTS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +28.0 points (Massachusetts)
RedHawksM-OH (-3.5) 0 MinutemenMASS (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

RedHawks Cover

0.3%

Minutemen Cover

99.7%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MASS -28.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MASS)

M-OH By 1-7 points

0.2%

M-OH By 8-14 points

0.0%

MASS By 1-7 points

1.7%

MASS By 8-14 points

6.8%

AI Model Projected Score
64
MIAMI (OH)
92
MASSACHUSETTS
Simulated Score
72
MIAMI (OH)
78
MASSACHUSETTS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Minutemen Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Minutemen Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Minutemen (+3) Loss
Proj Spread: -28.0
D
Sim Minutemen (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u163.5 Win
Proj Total: 156.0
D
Sim u163.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 12, 2026 MASS @ M-OH 87 - 83
Feb 17, 2026 M-OH @ MASS 86 - 77
Jan 27, 2026 MASS @ M-OH 84 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +18.5% more
Massachusetts: 12.5 vs Miami (OH): 10.5
Assists (L5) +9.1% more
Massachusetts: 17.2 vs Miami (OH): 15.8
Blocks (L5) +63.4% more
Miami (OH): 3.3 vs Massachusetts: 1.2
Steals (L5) +8.2% more
Miami (OH): 6.5 vs Massachusetts: 6.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
M-OH Score 64.0 86
MASS Score 92.0 77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.7 / 40.2 50.0 / 43.0
Assists 17.2 / 15.8 16.0 / 16.0
Blocks 1.2 / 3.3 1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 50.5 / 53.0 51.0 / 50.0
Free Throw % 63.9 / 71.7 56.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 36.3 / 36.0 33.0 / 26.0
Steals 6.0 / 6.5 3.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 12.5 / 10.5 13.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
91%TICKETS9%
87%MONEY13%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
86%TICKETS14%
72%MONEY28%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
79%MONEY21%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
M-OH Advantage
32-2-0 (94.1%)
Margin: 14.1 ATS +/-: +3.2
MASS
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: 2.6 ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
M-OH Advantage
20-11-0 (64.5%)
Margin: 14.1 ATS +/-: +3.2
MASS
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: 2.6 ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
M-OH
20-11-0
O: 64.5% / U: 35.5% Total +/-: +5.6
MASS
20-12-0
O: 62.5% / U: 37.5% Total +/-: +4.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MASS
M-OH
MASS
M-OH
ML
44% 14-18
45% 15-18
68% 21-10
41% 13-19
ATS
47% 15-17
61% 20-13
68% 21-10
41% 13-19
TTL
56% 18-14
61% 20-13
100% 31-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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