Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Billikens @ Rams SLU @ URI

SAINT LOUIS

BILLIKENSSLU

24-1  |  Road

76
FINAL
Tue, Feb 17 • 7:00 PM ET
Thomas M. Ryan Center
View Odds Details →

RHODE ISLAND

RAMSURI

14-11  |  Home

81
AI Model Win Probability
BILLIKENS
100%
📊
RAMS
0%
BILLIKENS --
RAMS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
178.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
RHODE ISLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Rhode Island)
BillikensSLU (-3.5) 0 RamsURI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Billikens Cover

21.2%

Rams Cover

78.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around URI -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (URI)

SLU By 1-7 points

13.7%

SLU By 8-14 points

4.8%

URI By 1-7 points

25.3%

URI By 8-14 points

26.2%

AI Model Projected Score
85
SAINT LOUIS
93
RHODE ISLAND
Simulated Score
68
SAINT LOUIS
72
RHODE ISLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Rams Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rams Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Rams (+9.5) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim Rams (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o152.0 Win
Proj Total: 178.0
D
Sim u152.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 17, 2026 SLU @ URI 76 - 81
Feb 22, 2025 URI @ SLU 66 - 81
Mar 12, 2024 SLU @ URI 74 - 71
Mar 2, 2024 SLU @ URI 94 - 91
Feb 7, 2023 URI @ SLU 71 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +21.3% more
Rhode Island: 8.5 vs Saint Louis: 7.0
Assists (L5) +39.9% more
Saint Louis: 20.4 vs Rhode Island: 12.3
Rebounding (L5) +19.5% more
Saint Louis: 39.3 vs Rhode Island: 31.6
Blocks (L5) +17.3% more
Saint Louis: 4.3 vs Rhode Island: 3.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SLU Score 85.0 76
URI Score 93.0 81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.1 / 45.5 41.0 / 38.0
Assists 12.3 / 20.4 14.0 / 11.0
Blocks 3.6 / 4.3 2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 42.7 / 52.0 41.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 65.2 / 69.4 85.0 / 77.0
Rebounding 31.6 / 39.3 33.0 / 37.0
Steals 8.5 / 7.0 7.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 12.2 / 12.3 14.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
97%TICKETS3%
94%MONEY6%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
85%TICKETS15%
94%MONEY6%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
86%MONEY14%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SLU Advantage
29-6-0 (82.9%)
Margin: 16.8 ATS +/-: +2.4
URI
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.7 ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SLU Advantage
19-13-2 (59.4%)
Margin: 16.8 ATS +/-: +2.4
URI
13-18-1 (41.9%)
Margin: 1.7 ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
SLU
18-16-0
O: 52.9% / U: 47.1% Total +/-: -0.3
URI
13-19-0
O: 40.6% / U: 59.4% Total +/-: -5.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
URI
SLU
URI
SLU
ML
62% 20-12
70% 23-10
59% 19-13
68% 21-10
ATS
56% 18-14
73% 24-9
59% 19-13
68% 21-10
TTL
56% 18-14
61% 20-13
100% 32-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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