Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Chippewas @ Eagles CMU @ EMU

CENTRAL MICHIGAN

CHIPPEWASCMU

8-17  |  Road

54
FINAL
Tue, Feb 17 • 6:30 PM ET
Gervin GameAbove Center
View Odds Details →

EASTERN MICHIGAN

EAGLESEMU

9-17  |  Home

66
AI Model Win Probability
CHIPPEWAS
100%
📊
EAGLES
0%
CHIPPEWAS --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
121.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
EASTERN MICHIGAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Eastern Michigan)
ChippewasCMU (-3.5) 0 EaglesEMU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Chippewas Cover

30.9%

Eagles Cover

69.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around EMU -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EMU)

CMU By 1-7 points

18.6%

CMU By 8-14 points

8.0%

EMU By 1-7 points

27.2%

EMU By 8-14 points

23.0%

AI Model Projected Score
58
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
63
EASTERN MICHIGAN
Simulated Score
68
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
72
EASTERN MICHIGAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Eagles Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Eagles (-4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim Eagles (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u141.0 Win
Proj Total: 121.0
D
Sim u141.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 17, 2026 CMU @ EMU 54 - 66
Jan 27, 2026 EMU @ CMU 65 - 100
Feb 28, 2025 CMU @ EMU 73 - 84
Jan 14, 2025 EMU @ CMU 63 - 82
Mar 8, 2024 EMU @ CMU 62 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +38.0% more
Central Michigan: 6.9 vs Eastern Michigan: 4.3
Assists (L5) +27.7% more
Central Michigan: 16.4 vs Eastern Michigan: 11.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +15.6%
Central Michigan: 51.0% vs Eastern Michigan: 35.4%
Turnovers (L5) +10.4% more
Central Michigan: 11.9 vs Eastern Michigan: 10.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CMU Score 58.0 54
EMU Score 63.0 66
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.4 / 51.0 33.0 / 12.0
Assists 11.8 / 16.4 12.0 / 8.0
Blocks 4.6 / 4.6 5.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 45.6 / 55.9 49.0 / 37.0
Free Throw % 68.5 / 67.3 80.0 / 50.0
Rebounding 32.2 / 32.3 39.0 / 33.0
Steals 4.3 / 6.9 7.0 / 14.0
Turnovers 10.7 / 11.9 18.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
18%TICKETS82%
10%MONEY90%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
6%MONEY94%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
60%MONEY40%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CMU
10-21-0 (32.3%)
Margin: -3.5 ATS +/-: +1.4
EMU
10-21-0 (32.3%)
Margin: -2.8 ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CMU
15-13-1 (53.6%)
Margin: -3.5 ATS +/-: +1.4
EMU Advantage
20-10-0 (66.7%)
Margin: -2.8 ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
CMU
13-16-0
O: 44.8% / U: 55.2% Total +/-: +0.4
EMU
9-21-0
O: 30.0% / U: 70.0% Total +/-: -3.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EMU
CMU
EMU
CMU
ML
65% 20-11
57% 17-13
70% 21-9
70% 21-9
ATS
65% 20-11
67% 20-10
70% 21-9
70% 21-9
TTL
71% 22-9
67% 20-10
100% 30-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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