FLORIDA A&M
RATTLERSFAMU
9-14 | Road
86
ALCORN STATE
BRAVESALCN
6-18 | Home
78
AI Model Win Probability
RATTLERS
100%
BRAVES
0%
RATTLERS
--
BRAVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
ALCORN STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Alcorn State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ALCN -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ALCN)
FAMU By 1-7 points
10.7%
FAMU By 8-14 points
3.3%
ALCN By 1-7 points
23.0%
ALCN By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Florida A&M
66
FLORIDA A&M
Alcorn State
76
ALCORN STATE
Simulated Score
Florida A&M
68
FLORIDA A&M
Alcorn State
72
ALCORN STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Braves
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Braves
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Braves (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim
Braves (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o137.0
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim
u137.0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 16, 2026
FAMU @ ALCN
86 - 78
Jan 24, 2026
ALCN @ FAMU
58 - 66
Feb 17, 2025
ALCN @ FAMU
76 - 85
Jan 25, 2025
FAMU @ ALCN
65 - 64
Feb 19, 2024
FAMU @ ALCN
68 - 79
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+16.5% more
Alcorn State: 9.8
vs
Florida A&M: 8.4
Blocks (L5)
+14.2% more
Alcorn State: 2.9
vs
Florida A&M: 2.5
Field Goal % (L5)
+6.4%
Alcorn State: 47.4%
vs
Florida A&M: 40.9%
Turnovers (L5)
+35.3% more
Florida A&M: 16.3
vs
Alcorn State: 10.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FAMU Score
66.0
86
ALCN Score
76.0
78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.6 / 37.1
31.0 / 43.0
Assists
10.6 / 11.4
16.0 / 23.0
Blocks
2.9 / 2.5
5.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
47.4 / 40.9
47.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
70.0 / 75.4
87.0 / 70.0
Rebounding
22.9 / 34.0
29.0 / 34.0
Steals
9.8 / 8.4
7.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
10.5 / 16.3
11.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FAMU
Advantage
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: -4.2
ATS +/-: +1.0
ALCN
9-23-0
(28.1%)
Margin: -13.3
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FAMU
Advantage
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: -4.2
ATS +/-: +1.0
ALCN
17-14-1
(54.8%)
Margin: -13.3
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
FAMU
11-18-0
O: 37.9% / U: 62.1%
Total +/-: -1.7
ALCN
15-16-1
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6%
Total +/-: -0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ALCN
FAMU
ALCN
FAMU
ML
66%
21-11
55%
16-13
75%
18-6
71%
17-7
ATS
68%
21-10-1
48%
14-15
75%
18-6
71%
17-7
TTL
47%
15-17
76%
22-7
100%
24-0
100%
24-0
