ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF
GOLDEN LIONSUAPB
11-14 | Road
70
ALABAMA A&M
BULLDOGSAAMU
14-11 | Home
82
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN LIONS
0%
BULLDOGS
100%
GOLDEN LIONS
--
BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
136.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-30.0
ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +30.0 points (Arkansas-Pine Bluff)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UAPB -30.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UAPB)
UAPB By 1-7 points
1.1%
UAPB By 8-14 points
4.8%
AAMU By 1-7 points
0.1%
AAMU By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
83
ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF
Alabama A&M
53
ALABAMA A&M
Simulated Score
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
63
ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF
Alabama A&M
68
ALABAMA A&M
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Golden Lions
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulldogs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Golden Lions (-3.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -30.0
D
Sim
Bulldogs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u144.0
Loss
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Sim
u144.0
Win
Proj Total: 131.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 16, 2026
UAPB @ AAMU
70 - 82
Jan 3, 2026
AAMU @ UAPB
83 - 95
Feb 17, 2025
AAMU @ UAPB
75 - 61
Jan 4, 2025
UAPB @ AAMU
79 - 89
Feb 19, 2024
UAPB @ AAMU
67 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+25.7% more
Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 14.9
vs
Alabama A&M: 11.1
Assists (L5)
+20.5% more
Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 13.4
vs
Alabama A&M: 10.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.4%
Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 39.5%
vs
Alabama A&M: 35.0%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.3%
Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 46.1%
vs
Alabama A&M: 43.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UAPB Score
83.0
70
AAMU Score
53.0
82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.0 / 39.5
47.0 / 36.0
Assists
10.7 / 13.4
11.0 / 14.0
Blocks
4.0 / 3.6
2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
43.7 / 46.1
51.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
73.4 / 75.0
88.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
31.8 / 32.2
34.0 / 31.0
Steals
6.9 / 6.1
2.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
11.1 / 14.9
10.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UAPB
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: -3.8
ATS +/-: +1.1
AAMU
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: -0.5
ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UAPB
13-16-1
(44.8%)
Margin: -3.8
ATS +/-: +1.1
AAMU
Advantage
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.5
ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
UAPB
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: -0.2
AAMU
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
AAMU
UAPB
AAMU
UAPB
ML
55%
16-13
74%
23-8
67%
16-8
73%
19-7
ATS
55%
16-13
73%
22-8-1
67%
16-8
73%
19-7
TTL
66%
19-10
68%
21-10
100%
24-0
100%
26-0
Contextual Game News
Nick Saban Declares Georgia the Most Complete Team in College Fo…
Kirby Smart Stays Silent on Nate Frazier's Injury Status as Geor…
Georgia Bulldogs Set to Clash with Oklahoma Sooners as Heavy Fav…
Georgia Bulldogs Release Availability Report for SEC Opener at A…
Georgia Loses Starting Defensive Lineman Xzavier McLeod Just Day…