STEPHEN F. AUSTIN
LUMBERJACKSSFA
23-3 | Road
78
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
ISLANDERSAMCC
14-12 | Home
68
AI Model Win Probability
LUMBERJACKS
0%
ISLANDERS
100%
LUMBERJACKS
--
ISLANDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
152.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-30.0
STEPHEN F. AUSTIN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +30.0 points (Stephen F. Austin)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SFA -30.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SFA)
SFA By 1-7 points
1.1%
SFA By 8-14 points
4.8%
AMCC By 1-7 points
0.1%
AMCC By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Stephen F. Austin
91
STEPHEN F. AUSTIN
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
61
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
Simulated Score
Stephen F. Austin
70
STEPHEN F. AUSTIN
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
75
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Lumberjacks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Islanders
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Lumberjacks (+5)
Win
Proj Spread: -30.0
D
Sim
Islanders (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o136.5
Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Sim
u136.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 10, 2026
AMCC @ SFA
58 - 60
Feb 16, 2026
SFA @ AMCC
78 - 68
Dec 17, 2025
AMCC @ SFA
60 - 69
Feb 8, 2025
AMCC @ SFA
64 - 78
Dec 7, 2024
SFA @ AMCC
48 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+27.4% more
Stephen F. Austin: 3.0
vs
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 2.2
Rebounding (L5)
+9.5% more
Stephen F. Austin: 36.6
vs
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 33.1
Turnovers (L5)
+33.6% more
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 12.1
vs
Stephen F. Austin: 9.1
Steals (L5)
+26.3% more
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 9.1
vs
Stephen F. Austin: 7.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SFA Score
91.0
78
AMCC Score
61.0
68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.2 / 34.5
28.0 / 42.0
Assists
12.6 / 12.1
8.0 / 11.0
Blocks
2.2 / 3.0
3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
45.2 / 43.4
42.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
71.0 / 69.3
75.0 / 69.0
Rebounding
33.1 / 36.6
38.0 / 36.0
Steals
9.1 / 7.2
2.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
12.1 / 9.1
11.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SFA
Advantage
28-6-0
(82.4%)
Margin: 10.0
ATS +/-: +3.1
AMCC
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 4.8
ATS +/-: +1.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SFA
Advantage
23-9-0
(71.9%)
Margin: 10.0
ATS +/-: +3.1
AMCC
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: 4.8
ATS +/-: +1.7
⚖️ Over/Under
SFA
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3%
Total +/-: -0.9
AMCC
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
AMCC
SFA
AMCC
SFA
ML
70%
21-9
59%
17-12
67%
18-9
79%
23-6
ATS
67%
20-10
59%
17-12
67%
18-9
79%
23-6
TTL
60%
18-12
62%
18-11
100%
27-0
100%
29-0
Contextual Game News
