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NICHOLLS

COLONELSNICH

11-15  |  Road

68
FINAL
Mon, Feb 16 • 8:00 PM ET
Sharp Gymnasium
View Odds Details →

HOUSTON CHRISTIAN

HUSKIESHCU

9-17  |  Home

72
AI Model Win Probability
COLONELS
0%
📊
HUSKIES
100%
COLONELS --
HUSKIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
104.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
NICHOLLS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (Nicholls)
ColonelsNICH (-3.5) 0 HuskiesHCU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Colonels Cover

97.7%

Huskies Cover

2.3%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NICH -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NICH)

NICH By 1-7 points

8.0%

NICH By 8-14 points

18.6%

HCU By 1-7 points

1.7%

HCU By 8-14 points

0.3%

AI Model Projected Score
62
NICHOLLS
42
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
Simulated Score
68
NICHOLLS
82
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Colonels Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Huskies Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Colonels (-1.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim Huskies (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u138.5 Loss
Proj Total: 104.0
D
Sim u138.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 16, 2026 NICH @ HCU 68 - 72
Dec 17, 2025 HCU @ NICH 64 - 79
Feb 3, 2025 HCU @ NICH 67 - 75
Feb 3, 2024 HCU @ NICH 73 - 83
Jan 6, 2024 NICH @ HCU 98 - 94
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +18.7% more
Nicholls: 7.8 vs Houston Christian: 6.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +8.8%
Nicholls: 37.5% vs Houston Christian: 28.8%
Field Goal % (L5) +8.3%
Nicholls: 49.4% vs Houston Christian: 41.1%
Turnovers (L5) +42.2% more
Houston Christian: 12.5 vs Nicholls: 8.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NICH Score 62.0 68
HCU Score 42.0 72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 28.8 / 37.5 21.0 / 28.0
Assists 14.2 / 13.4 14.0 / 12.0
Blocks 4.1 / 4.0 4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 41.1 / 49.4 45.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 77.2 / 65.2 73.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 30.0 / 26.7 38.0 / 35.0
Steals 6.4 / 7.8 5.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 12.5 / 8.8 7.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
63%MONEY37%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
57%MONEY43%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
35%TICKETS65%
11%MONEY89%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NICH Advantage
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -2.5 ATS +/-: -0.3
HCU
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NICH
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -2.5 ATS +/-: -0.3
HCU Advantage
14-15-1 (48.3%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
NICH
17-15-0
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9% Total +/-: +1.4
HCU
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: -0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HCU
NICH
HCU
NICH
ML
68% 21-10
53% 17-15
81% 25-6
68% 19-9
ATS
58% 18-13
47% 15-17
81% 26-6
68% 19-9
TTL
68% 21-10
56% 18-14
100% 32-0
100% 28-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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