Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Privateers @ Cardinals UNO @ UIW

NEW ORLEANS

PRIVATEERSUNO

11-15  |  Road

78
FINAL
Mon, Feb 16 • 7:30 PM ET
McDermott Center
View Odds Details →

INCARNATE WORD

CARDINALSUIW

10-16  |  Home

64
AI Model Win Probability
PRIVATEERS
100%
📊
CARDINALS
0%
PRIVATEERS --
CARDINALS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
INCARNATE WORD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Incarnate Word)
PrivateersUNO (-3.5) 0 CardinalsUIW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Privateers Cover

18.4%

Cardinals Cover

81.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UIW -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UIW)

UNO By 1-7 points

12.2%

UNO By 8-14 points

4.0%

UIW By 1-7 points

24.3%

UIW By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
69
NEW ORLEANS
78
INCARNATE WORD
Simulated Score
72
NEW ORLEANS
75
INCARNATE WORD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cardinals Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cardinals Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cardinals (-2.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim Cardinals (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u153.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim u153.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 16, 2026 UNO @ UIW 78 - 64
Dec 8, 2025 UIW @ UNO 83 - 84
Feb 10, 2025 UNO @ UIW 65 - 75
Jan 27, 2025 UIW @ UNO 74 - 58
Mar 2, 2024 UNO @ UIW 87 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +16.0%
Incarnate Word: 85.1% vs New Orleans: 69.1%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +14.4%
Incarnate Word: 38.9% vs New Orleans: 24.5%
Blocks (L5) +50.5% more
New Orleans: 3.3 vs Incarnate Word: 1.6
Steals (L5) +46.6% more
New Orleans: 6.7 vs Incarnate Word: 3.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UNO Score 69.0 78
UIW Score 78.0 64
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.9 / 24.5 29.0 / 29.0
Assists 10.0 / 13.4 14.0 / 11.0
Blocks 1.6 / 3.3 2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 43.9 / 45.3 36.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 85.1 / 69.1 68.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 34.2 / 36.4 38.0 / 38.0
Steals 3.6 / 6.7 3.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 11.9 / 14.7 11.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
41%MONEY59%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
57%MONEY43%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
54%MONEY46%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNO Advantage
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: +3.4
UIW
12-19-0 (38.7%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNO Advantage
19-14-0 (57.6%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: +3.4
UIW
10-18-0 (35.7%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
UNO
19-14-0
O: 57.6% / U: 42.4% Total +/-: +2.0
UIW
14-14-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UIW
UNO
UIW
UNO
ML
47% 14-16
52% 16-15
76% 22-7
57% 17-13
ATS
53% 16-14
52% 16-15
77% 23-7
57% 17-13
TTL
60% 18-12
58% 18-13
100% 30-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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