WAGNER
SEAHAWKSWAG
9-15 | Road
65
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
SHARKSLIU
17-9 | Home
83
AI Model Win Probability
SEAHAWKS
100%
SHARKS
0%
SEAHAWKS
--
SHARKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
176.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Long Island University)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LIU -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LIU)
WAG By 1-7 points
2.7%
WAG By 8-14 points
0.5%
LIU By 1-7 points
10.7%
LIU By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Wagner
79
WAGNER
Long Island University
97
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
Simulated Score
Wagner
67
WAGNER
Long Island University
75
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Sharks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Sharks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Sharks (-11.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim
Sharks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o136.5
Win
Proj Total: 176.0
D
Sim
u136.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
WAG @ LIU
56 - 64
Feb 16, 2026
WAG @ LIU
65 - 83
Feb 12, 2026
LIU @ WAG
67 - 57
Feb 27, 2025
WAG @ LIU
47 - 60
Feb 6, 2025
LIU @ WAG
60 - 47
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+85.6% more
Long Island University: 4.4
vs
Wagner: 2.4
Assists (L5)
+26.9% more
Long Island University: 12.1
vs
Wagner: 9.5
Turnovers (L5)
+15.3% more
Long Island University: 13.2
vs
Wagner: 11.4
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.7%
Long Island University: 44.2%
vs
Wagner: 40.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WAG Score
79.0
65
LIU Score
97.0
83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
21.7 / 34.0
53.0 / 43.0
Assists
12.1 / 9.5
16.0 / 11.0
Blocks
4.4 / 2.4
9.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
44.2 / 40.5
58.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
71.0 / 70.8
69.0 / 59.0
Rebounding
37.2 / 37.0
30.0 / 33.0
Steals
7.1 / 7.1
11.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
13.2 / 11.4
11.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WAG
Advantage
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-: +2.1
LIU
--
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WAG
Advantage
16-12-0
(57.1%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-: +2.1
LIU
--
⚖️ Over/Under
WAG
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4%
Total +/-: +4.4
LIU
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LIU
WAG
LIU
WAG
ML
60%
21-14
63%
19-11
69%
24-11
57%
17-13
ATS
63%
22-13
60%
18-12
69%
24-11
57%
17-13
TTL
60%
21-14
53%
16-14
100%
35-0
100%
30-0
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