DREXEL
DRAGONSDREX
13-13 | Road
69
STONY BROOK
SEAWOLVESSTBK
15-11 | Home
72
AI Model Win Probability
DRAGONS
0%
SEAWOLVES
100%
DRAGONS
--
SEAWOLVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
111.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
DREXEL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (Drexel)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DREX -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DREX)
DREX By 1-7 points
12.2%
DREX By 8-14 points
23.0%
STBK By 1-7 points
3.3%
STBK By 8-14 points
0.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Drexel
64
DREXEL
Stony Brook
47
STONY BROOK
Simulated Score
Drexel
68
DREXEL
Stony Brook
75
STONY BROOK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Dragons
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Seawolves
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Dragons (-3.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim
Seawolves (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u135.5
Loss
Proj Total: 111.0
D
Sim
u135.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 16, 2026
DREX @ STBK
69 - 72
Jan 8, 2026
STBK @ DREX
37 - 56
Jan 9, 2025
DREX @ STBK
67 - 51
Mar 10, 2024
STBK @ DREX
91 - 88
Feb 29, 2024
STBK @ DREX
86 - 90
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+11.0% more
Drexel: 12.5
vs
Stony Brook: 11.1
Assists (L5)
+9.6% more
Drexel: 13.6
vs
Stony Brook: 12.3
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.5%
Drexel: 47.1%
vs
Stony Brook: 41.6%
Rebounding (L5)
+21.0% more
Stony Brook: 37.0
vs
Drexel: 30.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DREX Score
64.0
69
STBK Score
47.0
72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.9 / 32.1
33.0 / 39.0
Assists
12.3 / 13.6
13.0 / 14.0
Blocks
3.6 / 3.2
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
41.6 / 47.1
40.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
72.2 / 63.6
84.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
37.0 / 30.5
29.0 / 41.0
Steals
5.7 / 5.1
10.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
11.1 / 12.5
6.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DREX
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: +0.3
STBK
Advantage
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 0.6
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DREX
Advantage
18-13-1
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: +0.3
STBK
17-13-0
(56.7%)
Margin: 0.6
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
DREX
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: -2.8
STBK
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STBK
DREX
STBK
DREX
ML
61%
19-12
58%
19-14
71%
22-9
81%
26-6
ATS
61%
19-12
70%
23-10
71%
22-9
81%
26-6
TTL
65%
20-11
48%
16-17
100%
31-0
100%
32-0
Contextual Game News
