Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Orange @ Blue Devils SYR @ DUKE

SYRACUSE

ORANGESYR

15-11  |  Road

64
FINAL
Mon, Feb 16 • 7:00 PM ET
Cameron Indoor Stadium
View Odds Details →

DUKE

BLUE DEVILSDUKE

23-2  |  Home

101
AI Model Win Probability
ORANGE
100%
📊
BLUE DEVILS
0%
ORANGE --
BLUE DEVILS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
174.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-22.0
DUKE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +22.0 points (Duke)
OrangeSYR (-3.5) 0 Blue DevilsDUKE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Orange Cover

1.4%

Blue Devils Cover

98.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DUKE -22.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DUKE)

SYR By 1-7 points

1.1%

SYR By 8-14 points

0.1%

DUKE By 1-7 points

5.8%

DUKE By 8-14 points

15.3%

AI Model Projected Score
76
SYRACUSE
98
DUKE
Simulated Score
70
SYRACUSE
78
DUKE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Blue Devils Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blue Devils Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Blue Devils (-20.5) Win
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Sim Blue Devils (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o144.5 Win
Proj Total: 174.0
D
Sim u144.5 Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 16, 2026 SYR @ DUKE 64 - 101
Feb 5, 2025 DUKE @ SYR 83 - 54
Jan 2, 2024 SYR @ DUKE 66 - 86
Feb 18, 2023 DUKE @ SYR 77 - 55
Mar 10, 2022 SYR @ DUKE 79 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +12.2% more
Duke: 15.1 vs Syracuse: 13.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +2.1%
Duke: 34.2% vs Syracuse: 32.1%
Blocks (L5) +69.7% more
Syracuse: 7.3 vs Duke: 2.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SYR Score 76.0 64
DUKE Score 98.0 101
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.2 / 32.1 60.0 / 37.0
Assists 15.1 / 13.5 21.0 / 10.0
Blocks 2.2 / 7.3 2.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 48.1 / 48.4 62.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 71.9 / 71.3 65.0 / 25.0
Rebounding 37.3 / 34.9 39.0 / 29.0
Steals 6.5 / 6.0 10.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 10.3 / 10.1 4.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
12%TICKETS88%
16%MONEY84%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
45%MONEY55%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
67%MONEY33%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SYR
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: -1.6
DUKE Advantage
35-3-0 (92.1%)
Margin: 18.0 ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SYR
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: -1.6
DUKE Advantage
20-18-0 (52.6%)
Margin: 18.0 ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
SYR
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +1.6
DUKE
14-24-0
O: 36.8% / U: 63.2% Total +/-: -3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DUKE
SYR
DUKE
SYR
ML
71% 27-11
78% 25-7
73% 24-9
69% 22-10
ATS
79% 30-8
69% 22-10
73% 24-9
69% 22-10
TTL
47% 18-20
66% 21-11
100% 33-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Duke Demolishes Belmont by 40 in Preseason Blowout
yahoo 0 minutes ago
Aiden Tobiason Brings Sharpshooting and Playmaking to Syracuse B…
si 10 hours ago
Gerry McNamara Vows to Bring Syracuse Basketball Back to Nationa…
espn 1 day, 4 hours ago
Cayden Boozer's Return to Duke: Trusting the Vision in a Loaded …
si 1 day, 16 hours ago
Duke Dominates ACC Preseason Poll, But Wide-Open Race Looms Behi…
yahoo 3 days, 10 hours ago