SE LOUISIANA
LIONSSELA
8-18 | Road
53
EAST TEXAS A&M
LIONSETAM
10-17 | Home
70
AI Model Win Probability
LIONS
0%
LIONS
100%
LIONS
--
LIONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
123.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
SE LOUISIANA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (SE Louisiana)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SELA -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SELA)
SELA By 1-7 points
9.3%
SELA By 8-14 points
20.1%
ETAM By 1-7 points
2.2%
ETAM By 8-14 points
0.4%
AI Model Projected Score
SE Louisiana
71
SE LOUISIANA
East Texas A&M
52
EAST TEXAS A&M
Simulated Score
SE Louisiana
71
SE LOUISIANA
East Texas A&M
78
EAST TEXAS A&M
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Lions
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Lions
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Lions (-3.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim
Lions (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u133.5
Win
Proj Total: 123.0
D
Sim
u133.5
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 16, 2026
SELA @ ETAM
53 - 70
Dec 15, 2025
ETAM @ SELA
70 - 69
Feb 22, 2025
ETAM @ SELA
65 - 83
Jan 20, 2025
SELA @ ETAM
76 - 68
Feb 12, 2024
SELA @ ETAM
79 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+13.7% more
SE Louisiana: 5.0
vs
East Texas A&M: 4.3
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.4%
SE Louisiana: 46.4%
vs
East Texas A&M: 41.0%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.2%
SE Louisiana: 30.7%
vs
East Texas A&M: 28.5%
Assists (L5)
+28.9% more
East Texas A&M: 14.1
vs
SE Louisiana: 11.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SELA Score
71.0
53
ETAM Score
52.0
70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.5 / 30.7
30.0 / 32.0
Assists
14.1 / 11.0
14.0 / 10.0
Blocks
3.2 / 2.7
2.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
41.0 / 46.4
51.0 / 29.0
Free Throw %
76.2 / 61.8
52.0 / 61.0
Rebounding
31.2 / 32.5
41.0 / 34.0
Steals
4.3 / 5.0
8.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
13.0 / 13.1
12.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SELA
9-22-0
(29.0%)
Margin: -5.4
ATS +/-: -0.9
ETAM
Advantage
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -4.3
ATS +/-: -1.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SELA
14-16-0
(46.7%)
Margin: -5.4
ATS +/-: -0.9
ETAM
14-16-0
(46.7%)
Margin: -4.3
ATS +/-: -1.7
⚖️ Over/Under
SELA
13-17-0
O: 43.3% / U: 56.7%
Total +/-: -1.4
ETAM
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: -1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ETAM
SELA
ETAM
SELA
ML
52%
13-12
70%
21-9
62%
15-9
66%
19-10
ATS
56%
14-11
60%
18-12
62%
15-9
67%
20-10
TTL
68%
17-8
70%
21-9
100%
24-0
100%
30-0
Contextual Game News
Northwestern Opens Ryan Field with Record-Breaking Debut Against…
Lions Edge Jets 31-24: Gibbs' Hat Trick, TeSlaa's Breakout, and …
Lions' Draft Radar: Five College Standouts to Watch in Week 4
Lions Edge Saints in Overtime Thriller: Winners and Losers from …
Lions Preseason Standouts and Struggles: Detroit Tops Washington…