Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bison @ Hornets HOW @ DSU

HOWARD

BISONHOW

16-10  |  Road

91
FINAL
Mon, Feb 16 • 7:00 PM ET
Memorial Hall (DE)
View Odds Details →

DELAWARE STATE

HORNETSDSU

6-18  |  Home

59
AI Model Win Probability
BISON
0%
📊
HORNETS
100%
BISON --
HORNETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
154.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-24.0
HOWARD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +24.0 points (Howard)
BisonHOW (-3.5) 0 HornetsDSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bison Cover

99.2%

Hornets Cover

0.8%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around HOW -24.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOW)

HOW By 1-7 points

4.0%

HOW By 8-14 points

12.2%

DSU By 1-7 points

0.6%

DSU By 8-14 points

0.1%

AI Model Projected Score
89
HOWARD
65
DELAWARE STATE
Simulated Score
70
HOWARD
75
DELAWARE STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Bison Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hornets Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Bison (+10.5) Win
Proj Spread: -24.0
D
Sim Hornets (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o130.5 Win
Proj Total: 154.0
D
Sim u130.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 16, 2026 HOW @ DSU 91 - 59
Jan 12, 2026 DSU @ HOW 58 - 84
Feb 15, 2025 HOW @ DSU 69 - 90
Jan 4, 2025 DSU @ HOW 94 - 100
Mar 16, 2024 DSU @ HOW 67 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +65.9% more
Howard: 4.6 vs Delaware State: 1.6
Assists (L5) +58.6% more
Howard: 18.9 vs Delaware State: 7.8
Steals (L5) +36.8% more
Howard: 9.4 vs Delaware State: 6.0
Rebounding (L5) +24.6% more
Howard: 36.0 vs Delaware State: 27.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HOW Score 89.0 91
DSU Score 65.0 59
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 24.6 / 36.9 30.0 / 29.0
Assists 7.8 / 18.9 13.0 / 18.0
Blocks 1.6 / 4.6 2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 40.0 / 46.6 39.0 / 58.0
Free Throw % 72.7 / 77.0 61.0 / 80.0
Rebounding 27.1 / 36.0 21.0 / 38.0
Steals 6.0 / 9.4 8.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 12.9 / 12.1 16.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
94%TICKETS6%
80%MONEY20%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
72%MONEY28%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
58%MONEY42%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HOW Advantage
24-11-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +4.9
DSU
8-23-0 (25.8%)
Margin: -9.3 ATS +/-: -3.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HOW Advantage
22-8-1 (73.3%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +4.9
DSU
9-17-0 (34.6%)
Margin: -9.3 ATS +/-: -3.1
⚖️ Over/Under
HOW
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: 0.0
DSU
7-19-0
O: 26.9% / U: 73.1% Total +/-: -5.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DSU
HOW
DSU
HOW
ML
60% 18-12
59% 20-14
75% 18-6
71% 22-9
ATS
60% 18-12
59% 20-14
72% 18-7
71% 22-9
TTL
57% 17-13
62% 21-13
100% 25-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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