YOUNGSTOWN STATE
PENGUINSYSU
13-13 | Road
70
DETROIT MERCY
TITANSDETM
11-13 | Home
76
AI Model Win Probability
PENGUINS
100%
TITANS
0%
PENGUINS
--
TITANS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
150.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-22.0
DETROIT MERCY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +22.0 points (Detroit Mercy)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DETM -22.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DETM)
YSU By 1-7 points
1.1%
YSU By 8-14 points
0.1%
DETM By 1-7 points
5.8%
DETM By 8-14 points
15.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Youngstown State
64
YOUNGSTOWN STATE
Detroit Mercy
86
DETROIT MERCY
Simulated Score
Youngstown State
75
YOUNGSTOWN STATE
Detroit Mercy
70
DETROIT MERCY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Titans
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Penguins
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Titans (+3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Sim
Penguins (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 15, 2026
YSU @ DETM
70 - 76
Dec 29, 2025
DETM @ YSU
73 - 68
Feb 8, 2025
YSU @ DETM
87 - 72
Dec 29, 2024
DETM @ YSU
64 - 73
Feb 28, 2024
DETM @ YSU
55 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+53.1% more
Detroit Mercy: 4.7
vs
Youngstown State: 3.1
Rebounding (L5)
+12.4% more
Detroit Mercy: 36.0
vs
Youngstown State: 32.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.0%
Detroit Mercy: 41.7%
vs
Youngstown State: 35.7%
Steals (L5)
+24.4% more
Youngstown State: 6.6
vs
Detroit Mercy: 5.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
YSU Score
64.0
70
DETM Score
86.0
76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
41.7 / 35.7
38.0 / 23.0
Assists
13.3 / 17.4
12.0 / 12.0
Blocks
4.7 / 3.1
3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
47.8 / 49.1
44.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
82.2 / 83.8
77.0 / 69.0
Rebounding
36.0 / 32.0
38.0 / 33.0
Steals
5.0 / 6.6
8.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
11.7 / 12.9
7.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
YSU
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: -1.3
DETM
Advantage
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: -0.1
ATS +/-: +3.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
YSU
10-18-1
(35.7%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: -1.3
DETM
Advantage
20-9-1
(69.0%)
Margin: -0.1
ATS +/-: +3.7
⚖️ Over/Under
YSU
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3%
Total +/-: +0.2
DETM
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DETM
YSU
DETM
YSU
ML
58%
18-13
57%
17-13
50%
15-15
67%
20-10
ATS
61%
19-12
47%
14-16
50%
15-15
67%
20-10
TTL
61%
19-12
60%
18-12
100%
30-0
100%
30-0
Contextual Game News
