RIDER
BRONCSRID
3-21 | Road
75
SACRED HEART
PIONEERSSHU
11-16 | Home
86
AI Model Win Probability
BRONCS
100%
PIONEERS
0%
BRONCS
--
PIONEERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
122.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-40.0
SACRED HEART
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +40.0 points (Sacred Heart)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SHU -40.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SHU)
RID By 1-7 points
0.0%
RID By 8-14 points
0.0%
SHU By 1-7 points
0.1%
SHU By 8-14 points
0.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Rider
41
RIDER
Sacred Heart
81
SACRED HEART
Simulated Score
Rider
70
RIDER
Sacred Heart
75
SACRED HEART
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Pioneers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pioneers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Pioneers (-8.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -40.0
D
Sim
Pioneers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u146.5
Loss
Proj Total: 122.0
D
Sim
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 15, 2026
RID @ SHU
75 - 86
Jan 19, 2026
SHU @ RID
105 - 85
Feb 6, 2025
RID @ SHU
77 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+44.7% more
Sacred Heart: 13.2
vs
Rider: 9.1
Turnovers (L5)
+25.0% more
Sacred Heart: 10.7
vs
Rider: 8.6
Free Throw % (L5)
+16.1%
Sacred Heart: 78.7%
vs
Rider: 62.6%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+14.8%
Sacred Heart: 38.6%
vs
Rider: 23.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
RID Score
41.0
75
SHU Score
81.0
86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.6 / 23.8
36.0 / 47.0
Assists
13.2 / 9.1
14.0 / 12.0
Blocks
3.3 / 3.1
7.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
44.9 / 37.7
44.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
78.7 / 62.6
87.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
32.5 / 29.5
38.0 / 35.0
Steals
3.7 / 7.8
5.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
10.7 / 8.6
11.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RID
4-25-0
(13.8%)
Margin: -12.6
ATS +/-: -3.1
SHU
Advantage
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RID
7-18-3
(28.0%)
Margin: -12.6
ATS +/-: -3.1
SHU
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
RID
9-19-0
O: 32.1% / U: 67.9%
Total +/-: -0.2
SHU
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: +1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SHU
RID
SHU
RID
ML
61%
20-13
72%
21-8
73%
24-9
66%
19-10
ATS
76%
25-8
72%
21-8
73%
24-9
66%
19-10
TTL
58%
19-14
62%
18-11
100%
33-0
100%
29-0
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