IU INDIANAPOLIS
JAGUARSIUIN
7-20 | Road
78
PURDUE FORT WAYNE
MASTODONSPFW
14-12 | Home
83
AI Model Win Probability
JAGUARS
0%
MASTODONS
100%
JAGUARS
--
MASTODONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
176.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-30.0
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +30.0 points (IU Indianapolis)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around IUIN -30.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IUIN)
IUIN By 1-7 points
1.1%
IUIN By 8-14 points
4.8%
PFW By 1-7 points
0.1%
PFW By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
IU Indianapolis
103
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Purdue Fort Wayne
73
PURDUE FORT WAYNE
Simulated Score
IU Indianapolis
65
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Purdue Fort Wayne
78
PURDUE FORT WAYNE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Jaguars
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mastodons
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Jaguars (-7.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -30.0
D
Sim
Mastodons (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o160.5
Win
Proj Total: 176.0
D
Sim
u160.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
PFW @ IUIN
87 - 81
Feb 15, 2026
IUIN @ PFW
78 - 83
Jan 25, 2025
PFW @ IUIN
91 - 80
Dec 11, 2024
IUIN @ PFW
76 - 78
Feb 10, 2024
PFW @ IUIN
92 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+45.7% more
IU Indianapolis: 19.3
vs
Purdue Fort Wayne: 10.5
Blocks (L5)
+43.4% more
IU Indianapolis: 3.6
vs
Purdue Fort Wayne: 2.0
Rebounding (L5)
+23.0% more
IU Indianapolis: 33.2
vs
Purdue Fort Wayne: 25.6
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.6%
IU Indianapolis: 46.5%
vs
Purdue Fort Wayne: 44.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
IUIN Score
103.0
78
PFW Score
73.0
83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.5 / 34.1
45.0 / 29.0
Assists
10.5 / 19.3
12.0 / 15.0
Blocks
2.0 / 3.6
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
44.8 / 46.5
54.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
78.2 / 75.6
47.0 / 86.0
Rebounding
25.6 / 33.2
31.0 / 43.0
Steals
7.7 / 7.3
10.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
10.5 / 10.6
9.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IUIN
--
PFW
Advantage
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 1.0
ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IUIN
--
PFW
Advantage
12-17-0
(41.4%)
Margin: 1.0
ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
IUIN
--
PFW
16-13-0
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PFW
IUIN
PFW
IUIN
ML
59%
19-13
69%
22-10
74%
23-8
78%
25-7
ATS
62%
20-12
66%
21-11
74%
23-8
78%
25-7
TTL
59%
19-13
50%
16-16
100%
31-0
100%
32-0
Contextual Game News
