Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Mean Green @ Owls UNT @ TEM

NORTH TEXAS

MEAN GREENUNT

14-11  |  Road

65
FINAL
Sun, Feb 15 • 2:00 PM ET
Liacouras Center
View Odds Details →

TEMPLE

OWLSTEM

15-9  |  Home

62
AI Model Win Probability
MEAN GREEN
0%
📊
OWLS
100%
MEAN GREEN --
OWLS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
180.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.0
TEMPLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Mean GreenUNT (-3.5) 0 OwlsTEM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Mean Green Cover

42.1%

Owls Cover

57.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around TEM +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEM)

UNT By 1-7 points

26.8%

UNT By 8-14 points

18.6%

TEM By 1-7 points

23.0%

TEM By 8-14 points

12.2%

AI Model Projected Score
91
NORTH TEXAS
89
TEMPLE
Simulated Score
68
NORTH TEXAS
64
TEMPLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Mean Green Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Mean Green Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Owls (+2.5) Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Sim Mean Green (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o135.5 Loss
Proj Total: 180.0
D
Sim u135.5 Win
Proj Total: 132.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 15, 2026 UNT @ TEM 65 - 62
Mar 9, 2025 UNT @ TEM 61 - 66
Jan 22, 2025 TEM @ UNT 67 - 76
Jan 13, 2024 TEM @ UNT 51 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +49.7% more
North Texas: 11.8 vs Temple: 6.0
Turnovers (L5) +36.4% more
North Texas: 12.4 vs Temple: 7.9
Blocks (L5) +18.3% more
North Texas: 3.8 vs Temple: 3.1
Rebounding (L5) +9.9% more
North Texas: 38.3 vs Temple: 34.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UNT Score 91.0 65
TEM Score 89.0 62
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 27.9 / 21.2 39.0 / 15.0
Assists 13.0 / 11.0 14.0 / 9.0
Blocks 3.1 / 3.8 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 39.7 / 42.8 44.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 79.1 / 74.2 53.0 / 75.0
Rebounding 34.5 / 38.3 37.0 / 35.0
Steals 6.0 / 11.8 1.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 7.9 / 12.4 16.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
17%TICKETS83%
13%MONEY87%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
36%MONEY64%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
55%MONEY45%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNT Advantage
19-14-0 (57.6%)
Margin: 3.5 ATS +/-: -0.7
TEM
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.2 ATS +/-: +0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNT Advantage
17-14-0 (54.8%)
Margin: 3.5 ATS +/-: -0.7
TEM
14-17-0 (45.2%)
Margin: 3.2 ATS +/-: +0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
UNT
15-16-0
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6% Total +/-: -0.2
TEM
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TEM
UNT
TEM
UNT
ML
62% 20-12
70% 23-10
67% 20-10
59% 19-13
ATS
56% 18-14
52% 17-16
67% 20-10
59% 19-13
TTL
69% 22-10
67% 22-11
100% 30-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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