HOLY CROSS
CRUSADERSHC
9-17 | Road
73
LOYOLA MARYLAND
GREYHOUNDSL-MD
10-16 | Home
83
AI Model Win Probability
CRUSADERS
100%
GREYHOUNDS
0%
CRUSADERS
--
GREYHOUNDS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
118.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
LOYOLA MARYLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (Loyola Maryland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around L-MD -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (L-MD)
HC By 1-7 points
4.0%
HC By 8-14 points
0.8%
L-MD By 1-7 points
13.7%
L-MD By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Holy Cross
51
HOLY CROSS
Loyola Maryland
67
LOYOLA MARYLAND
Simulated Score
Holy Cross
68
HOLY CROSS
Loyola Maryland
72
LOYOLA MARYLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Greyhounds
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Greyhounds
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Greyhounds (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim
Greyhounds (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u145.5
Loss
Proj Total: 118.0
D
Sim
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
L-MD @ HC
76 - 62
Feb 15, 2026
HC @ L-MD
73 - 83
Jan 25, 2025
HC @ L-MD
70 - 65
Jan 2, 2025
L-MD @ HC
72 - 74
Feb 3, 2024
HC @ L-MD
70 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+110.8% more
Loyola Maryland: 3.9
vs
Holy Cross: 1.9
Assists (L5)
+29.1% more
Loyola Maryland: 13.0
vs
Holy Cross: 10.0
Turnovers (L5)
+19.6% more
Loyola Maryland: 10.1
vs
Holy Cross: 8.5
Steals (L5)
+17.2% more
Loyola Maryland: 6.4
vs
Holy Cross: 5.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HC Score
51.0
73
L-MD Score
67.0
83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.9 / 33.3
44.0 / 29.0
Assists
13.0 / 10.0
13.0 / 9.0
Blocks
3.9 / 1.9
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
43.1 / 41.9
47.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
74.4 / 80.1
76.0 / 76.0
Rebounding
35.5 / 35.5
38.0 / 31.0
Steals
6.4 / 5.5
3.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
10.1 / 8.5
4.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HC
11-22-0
(33.3%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.2
L-MD
Advantage
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -1.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HC
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.2
L-MD
Advantage
15-14-1
(51.7%)
Margin: -1.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
HC
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.3
L-MD
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: +4.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
L-MD
HC
L-MD
HC
ML
53%
17-15
52%
16-15
66%
21-11
61%
19-12
ATS
56%
18-14
55%
17-14
66%
21-11
64%
21-12
TTL
44%
14-18
58%
18-13
100%
32-0
100%
33-0
