Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Pirates @ Bulldogs HALL @ BUT

SETON HALL

PIRATESHALL

17-8  |  Road

63
FINAL
Sun, Feb 15 • 6:00 PM ET
Hinkle Fieldhouse
View Odds Details →

BUTLER

BULLDOGSBUT

13-12  |  Home

56
AI Model Win Probability
PIRATES
0%
📊
BULLDOGS
100%
PIRATES --
BULLDOGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
148.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-30.0
SETON HALL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +30.0 points (Seton Hall)
PiratesHALL (-3.5) 0 BulldogsBUT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Pirates Cover

99.9%

Bulldogs Cover

0.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around HALL -30.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HALL)

HALL By 1-7 points

1.1%

HALL By 8-14 points

4.8%

BUT By 1-7 points

0.1%

BUT By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
89
SETON HALL
59
BUTLER
Simulated Score
68
SETON HALL
72
BUTLER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Pirates Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bulldogs Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Pirates (+4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -30.0
D
Sim Bulldogs (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o139.5 Loss
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Sim u139.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 15, 2026 HALL @ BUT 63 - 56
Jan 17, 2026 BUT @ HALL 77 - 66
Feb 5, 2025 BUT @ HALL 84 - 54
Jan 15, 2025 HALL @ BUT 77 - 82
Feb 24, 2024 BUT @ HALL 64 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +31.2% more
Seton Hall: 3.8 vs Butler: 2.6
Steals (L5) +30.5% more
Seton Hall: 9.8 vs Butler: 6.8
Field Goal % (L5) +5.4%
Seton Hall: 47.4% vs Butler: 42.0%
Free Throw % (L5) +3.5%
Seton Hall: 74.0% vs Butler: 70.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HALL Score 89.0 63
BUT Score 59.0 56
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.6 / 36.9 24.0 / 33.0
Assists 15.1 / 12.1 16.0 / 16.0
Blocks 2.6 / 3.8 1.0 / 13.0
Field Goal % 42.0 / 47.4 30.0 / 49.0
Free Throw % 70.4 / 74.0 65.0 / 45.0
Rebounding 33.0 / 30.4 38.0 / 41.0
Steals 6.8 / 9.8 6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 10.3 / 9.8 9.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
80%MONEY20%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
66%MONEY34%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
49%MONEY51%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HALL Advantage
21-12-0 (63.6%)
Margin: 5.0 ATS +/-: +1.6
BUT
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.8 ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HALL Advantage
19-14-0 (57.6%)
Margin: 5.0 ATS +/-: +1.6
BUT
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.8 ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
HALL
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6% Total +/-: -3.3
BUT
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUT
HALL
BUT
HALL
ML
62% 20-12
41% 13-19
65% 20-11
60% 18-12
ATS
56% 18-14
50% 16-16
65% 20-11
60% 18-12
TTL
50% 16-16
53% 17-15
100% 31-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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