DRAKE
BULLDOGSDRKE
12-15 | Road
62
NORTHERN IOWA
PANTHERSUNI
16-10 | Home
86
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
100%
PANTHERS
0%
BULLDOGS
--
PANTHERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
148.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
NORTHERN IOWA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (Northern Iowa)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UNI -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNI)
DRKE By 1-7 points
1.7%
DRKE By 8-14 points
0.3%
UNI By 1-7 points
8.0%
UNI By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Drake
64
DRAKE
Northern Iowa
84
NORTHERN IOWA
Simulated Score
Drake
75
DRAKE
Northern Iowa
70
NORTHERN IOWA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Panthers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulldogs
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Panthers (-8.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim
Bulldogs (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o138.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Sim
u138.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 1, 2026
UNI @ DRKE
75 - 53
Feb 15, 2026
DRKE @ UNI
62 - 86
Feb 23, 2025
DRKE @ UNI
64 - 58
Jan 29, 2025
UNI @ DRKE
52 - 66
Feb 24, 2024
DRKE @ UNI
77 - 91
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+56.5% more
Northern Iowa: 5.8
vs
Drake: 3.7
Assists (L5)
+16.1% more
Northern Iowa: 14.1
vs
Drake: 12.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+11.3%
Northern Iowa: 84.8%
vs
Drake: 73.5%
Field Goal % (L5)
+6.6%
Northern Iowa: 50.3%
vs
Drake: 43.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DRKE Score
64.0
62
UNI Score
84.0
86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.6 / 35.2
41.0 / 29.0
Assists
14.1 / 12.2
22.0 / 10.0
Blocks
2.4 / 2.5
4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
50.3 / 43.7
54.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
84.8 / 73.5
92.0 / 65.0
Rebounding
31.3 / 34.3
33.0 / 28.0
Steals
5.8 / 3.7
5.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
9.3 / 9.8
7.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DRKE
14-20-0
(41.2%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: -0.5
UNI
Advantage
23-13-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 7.7
ATS +/-: +2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DRKE
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: -0.5
UNI
Advantage
20-15-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 7.7
ATS +/-: +2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
DRKE
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8%
Total +/-: +3.9
UNI
14-21-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0%
Total +/-: -4.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNI
DRKE
UNI
DRKE
ML
51%
18-17
59%
20-14
56%
19-15
38%
13-21
ATS
49%
17-18
85%
29-5
56%
19-15
38%
13-21
TTL
69%
24-11
56%
19-15
100%
34-0
100%
34-0
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