Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Green Wave @ Blazers TULN @ UAB

TULANE

GREEN WAVETULN

14-10  |  Road

55
FINAL
Sun, Feb 15 • 2:00 PM ET
Bartow Arena
View Odds Details →

UAB

BLAZERSUAB

16-9  |  Home

54
AI Model Win Probability
GREEN WAVE
100%
📊
BLAZERS
0%
GREEN WAVE --
BLAZERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
150.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-28.0
UAB
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +28.0 points (UAB)
Green WaveTULN (-3.5) 0 BlazersUAB (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Green Wave Cover

0.3%

Blazers Cover

99.7%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UAB -28.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UAB)

TULN By 1-7 points

0.2%

TULN By 8-14 points

0.0%

UAB By 1-7 points

1.7%

UAB By 8-14 points

6.8%

AI Model Projected Score
61
TULANE
89
UAB
Simulated Score
68
TULANE
74
UAB
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Blazers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blazers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Blazers (-5.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -28.0
D
Sim Blazers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u153.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Sim u153.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 15, 2026 TULN @ UAB 55 - 54
Jan 14, 2026 UAB @ TULN 82 - 69
Mar 9, 2025 UAB @ TULN 68 - 85
Jan 7, 2025 TULN @ UAB 69 - 81
Feb 25, 2024 UAB @ TULN 78 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +22.8% more
UAB: 38.8 vs Tulane: 31.6
Steals (L5) +20.3% more
UAB: 8.5 vs Tulane: 7.1
Turnovers (L5) +34.4% more
Tulane: 12.6 vs UAB: 8.3
Blocks (L5) +14.9% more
Tulane: 5.2 vs UAB: 4.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TULN Score 61.0 55
UAB Score 89.0 54
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.8 / 30.5 15.0 / 29.0
Assists 13.9 / 14.2 7.0 / 9.0
Blocks 4.5 / 5.2 1.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 40.8 / 45.0 32.0 / 36.0
Free Throw % 66.4 / 75.1 59.0 / 100.0
Rebounding 38.8 / 31.6 47.0 / 36.0
Steals 8.5 / 7.1 5.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 8.3 / 12.6 8.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
11%MONEY89%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
38%TICKETS62%
39%MONEY61%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
55%MONEY45%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TULN
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: -2.7
UAB Advantage
20-12-0 (62.5%)
Margin: 5.4 ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TULN
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: -2.7
UAB Advantage
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: 5.4 ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
TULN
13-18-1
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: -1.2
UAB
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UAB
TULN
UAB
TULN
ML
59% 19-13
70% 23-10
41% 13-19
47% 15-17
ATS
56% 18-14
62% 20-12-1
41% 13-19
47% 15-17
TTL
69% 22-10
55% 18-15
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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