UTAH
UTESUTAH
9-15 | Road
65
CINCINNATI
BEARCATSCIN
13-12 | Home
69
AI Model Win Probability
UTES
0%
BEARCATS
100%
UTES
--
BEARCATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
157.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-35.0
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +35.0 points (Utah)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UTAH -35.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTAH)
UTAH By 1-7 points
0.3%
UTAH By 8-14 points
1.7%
CIN By 1-7 points
0.0%
CIN By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Utah
96
UTAH
Cincinnati
61
CINCINNATI
Simulated Score
Utah
69
UTAH
Cincinnati
75
CINCINNATI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Utes
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bearcats
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Utes (-12.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -35.0
D
Sim
Bearcats (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o140.5
Loss
Proj Total: 157.0
D
Sim
u140.5
Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 10, 2026
UTAH @ CIN
66 - 73
Feb 15, 2026
UTAH @ CIN
65 - 69
Feb 11, 2025
UTAH @ CIN
75 - 85
Jan 28, 2025
CIN @ UTAH
66 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+32.7% more
Cincinnati: 16.8
vs
Utah: 12.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+19.8%
Cincinnati: 46.2%
vs
Utah: 26.4%
Rebounding (L5)
+15.5% more
Cincinnati: 36.2
vs
Utah: 31.4
Blocks (L5)
+9.9% more
Cincinnati: 3.5
vs
Utah: 3.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTAH Score
96.0
65
CIN Score
61.0
69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
46.2 / 26.4
27.0 / 33.0
Assists
16.8 / 12.6
14.0 / 12.0
Blocks
3.5 / 3.2
6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
46.8 / 42.6
44.0 / 36.0
Free Throw %
75.3 / 68.8
77.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
36.2 / 31.4
30.0 / 40.0
Steals
5.2 / 5.3
7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
12.6 / 11.7
6.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTAH
10-22-0
(31.3%)
Margin: -4.8
ATS +/-: -0.6
CIN
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTAH
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -4.8
ATS +/-: -0.6
CIN
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
UTAH
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8%
Total +/-: -0.5
CIN
12-21-0
O: 36.4% / U: 63.6%
Total +/-: -4.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CIN
UTAH
CIN
UTAH
ML
67%
22-11
56%
18-14
74%
23-8
67%
20-10
ATS
64%
21-12
56%
18-14
74%
23-8
67%
20-10
TTL
67%
22-11
41%
13-19
100%
31-0
100%
30-0
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