AI Model Win Probability
CARDINALS
100%
ISLANDERS
0%
CARDINALS
--
ISLANDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
187.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Texas A&M-Corpus Christi)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around AMCC -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (AMCC)
LAM By 1-7 points
24.3%
LAM By 8-14 points
13.7%
AMCC By 1-7 points
26.2%
AMCC By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Lamar
93
LAMAR
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
94
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
Simulated Score
Lamar
71
LAMAR
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
78
TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Islanders
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Islanders
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Islanders (+2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Islanders (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o136.0
Win
Proj Total: 187.0
D
Sim
u136.0
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 14, 2026
LAM @ AMCC
63 - 76
Dec 6, 2025
AMCC @ LAM
57 - 49
Feb 10, 2025
AMCC @ LAM
56 - 67
Dec 5, 2024
LAM @ AMCC
65 - 61
Feb 24, 2024
AMCC @ LAM
75 - 61
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+95.6% more
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 7.1
vs
Lamar: 3.6
Turnovers (L5)
+42.9% more
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 14.6
vs
Lamar: 10.2
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.9%
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 45.8%
vs
Lamar: 43.9%
Blocks (L5)
+30.7% more
Lamar: 3.3
vs
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi: 2.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAM Score
93.0
63
AMCC Score
94.0
76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.8 / 38.2
40.0 / 18.0
Assists
11.4 / 15.4
15.0 / 5.0
Blocks
2.3 / 3.3
2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
45.8 / 43.9
44.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
72.0 / 72.2
69.0 / 85.0
Rebounding
33.7 / 38.3
32.0 / 30.0
Steals
7.1 / 3.6
13.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
14.6 / 10.2
7.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAM
12-19-0
(38.7%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: -1.5
AMCC
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 4.8
ATS +/-: +1.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAM
12-16-1
(42.9%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: -1.5
AMCC
Advantage
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: 4.8
ATS +/-: +1.7
⚖️ Over/Under
LAM
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -1.1
AMCC
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
AMCC
LAM
AMCC
LAM
ML
70%
21-9
55%
16-13
67%
18-9
59%
17-12
ATS
67%
20-10
52%
15-14
67%
18-9
60%
18-12
TTL
60%
18-12
72%
21-8
100%
27-0
100%
30-0