MCNEESE
COWBOYSMCN
20-5 | Road
97
EAST TEXAS A&M
LIONSETAM
10-16 | Home
54
AI Model Win Probability
COWBOYS
0%
LIONS
100%
COWBOYS
--
LIONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
144.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
MCNEESE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (McNeese)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MCN -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MCN)
MCN By 1-7 points
16.9%
MCN By 8-14 points
26.2%
ETAM By 1-7 points
5.8%
ETAM By 8-14 points
1.4%
AI Model Projected Score
McNeese
79
MCNEESE
East Texas A&M
65
EAST TEXAS A&M
Simulated Score
McNeese
75
MCNEESE
East Texas A&M
68
EAST TEXAS A&M
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cowboys
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cowboys
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cowboys (+13.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim
Cowboys (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o142.5
Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Sim
u142.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 14, 2026
MCN @ ETAM
97 - 54
Dec 12, 2025
ETAM @ MCN
66 - 102
Feb 10, 2025
ETAM @ MCN
51 - 67
Jan 4, 2025
MCN @ ETAM
75 - 56
Feb 5, 2024
ETAM @ MCN
51 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+43.2% more
McNeese: 10.4
vs
East Texas A&M: 5.9
Blocks (L5)
+34.8% more
McNeese: 5.9
vs
East Texas A&M: 3.9
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.2%
McNeese: 48.1%
vs
East Texas A&M: 44.0%
Free Throw % (L5)
+1.8%
McNeese: 73.1%
vs
East Texas A&M: 71.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MCN Score
79.0
97
ETAM Score
65.0
54
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.2 / 32.1
21.0 / 45.0
Assists
14.2 / 14.3
14.0 / 19.0
Blocks
3.9 / 5.9
2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
44.0 / 48.1
35.0 / 55.0
Free Throw %
71.3 / 73.1
86.0 / 69.0
Rebounding
32.3 / 29.3
29.0 / 36.0
Steals
5.9 / 10.4
1.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
11.9 / 10.1
15.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MCN
Advantage
28-6-0
(82.4%)
Margin: 12.9
ATS +/-: -0.2
ETAM
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -4.3
ATS +/-: -1.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MCN
14-16-1
(46.7%)
Margin: 12.9
ATS +/-: -0.2
ETAM
14-16-0
(46.7%)
Margin: -4.3
ATS +/-: -1.7
⚖️ Over/Under
MCN
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: -1.6
ETAM
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: -1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ETAM
MCN
ETAM
MCN
ML
52%
13-12
67%
22-11
62%
15-9
88%
28-4
ATS
56%
14-11
76%
25-8
62%
15-9
88%
28-4
TTL
68%
17-8
42%
14-19
100%
24-0
100%
32-0
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