DELAWARE STATE
HORNETSDSU
6-17 | Road
58
NORFOLK STATE
SPARTANSNORF
11-14 | Home
75
AI Model Win Probability
HORNETS
100%
SPARTANS
0%
HORNETS
--
SPARTANS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
123.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
NORFOLK STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Norfolk State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NORF -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NORF)
DSU By 1-7 points
9.3%
DSU By 8-14 points
2.7%
NORF By 1-7 points
21.6%
NORF By 8-14 points
27.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Delaware State
56
DELAWARE STATE
Norfolk State
67
NORFOLK STATE
Simulated Score
Delaware State
65
DELAWARE STATE
Norfolk State
72
NORFOLK STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Spartans
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Spartans
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Spartans (-9.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
Spartans (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u134.5
Win
Proj Total: 123.0
D
Sim
u134.5
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 14, 2026
DSU @ NORF
58 - 75
Jan 10, 2026
NORF @ DSU
66 - 64
Feb 17, 2025
DSU @ NORF
84 - 96
Jan 6, 2025
NORF @ DSU
73 - 64
Mar 2, 2024
NORF @ DSU
71 - 85
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+49.5% more
Norfolk State: 2.8
vs
Delaware State: 1.9
Steals (L5)
+26.9% more
Norfolk State: 8.2
vs
Delaware State: 6.4
Rebounding (L5)
+12.4% more
Norfolk State: 31.7
vs
Delaware State: 28.2
Turnovers (L5)
+10.9% more
Norfolk State: 15.4
vs
Delaware State: 13.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DSU Score
56.0
58
NORF Score
67.0
75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.7 / 28.4
33.0 / 17.0
Assists
10.6 / 9.7
11.0 / 4.0
Blocks
2.8 / 1.9
1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
45.4 / 41.5
54.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
73.1 / 73.0
59.0 / 72.0
Rebounding
31.7 / 28.2
38.0 / 25.0
Steals
8.2 / 6.4
4.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
15.4 / 13.9
12.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DSU
8-23-0
(25.8%)
Margin: -9.3
ATS +/-: -3.1
NORF
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 2.6
ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DSU
9-17-0
(34.6%)
Margin: -9.3
ATS +/-: -3.1
NORF
Advantage
13-15-0
(46.4%)
Margin: 2.6
ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
DSU
7-19-0
O: 26.9% / U: 73.1%
Total +/-: -5.3
NORF
19-9-0
O: 67.9% / U: 32.1%
Total +/-: +4.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NORF
DSU
NORF
DSU
ML
67%
20-10
60%
18-12
71%
20-8
75%
18-6
ATS
63%
19-11
60%
18-12
72%
21-8
72%
18-7
TTL
60%
18-12
57%
17-13
100%
29-0
100%
25-0
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