Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bisons @ Royals LIP @ QUC

LIPSCOMB

BISONSLIP

16-10  |  Road

81
FINAL
Sat, Feb 14 • 4:00 PM ET
Curry Arena
View Odds Details →

QUEENS UNIVERSITY

ROYALSQUC

14-12  |  Home

87
AI Model Win Probability
BISONS
100%
📊
ROYALS
0%
BISONS --
ROYALS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
132.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Queens University)
BisonsLIP (-3.5) 0 RoyalsQUC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bisons Cover

3.6%

Royals Cover

96.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around QUC -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (QUC)

LIP By 1-7 points

2.7%

LIP By 8-14 points

0.5%

QUC By 1-7 points

10.7%

QUC By 8-14 points

21.6%

AI Model Projected Score
57
LIPSCOMB
75
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Simulated Score
72
LIPSCOMB
69
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Royals Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bisons Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Royals (-3) Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim Bisons (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u165.5 Loss
Proj Total: 132.0
D
Sim u165.5 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 14, 2026 LIP @ QUC 81 - 87
Mar 6, 2025 QUC @ LIP 75 - 81
Feb 8, 2025 LIP @ QUC 94 - 81
Jan 9, 2025 QUC @ LIP 75 - 73
Feb 8, 2024 QUC @ LIP 88 - 90
Key Model Drivers
Field Goal % (L5) +3.9%
Queens University: 50.3% vs Lipscomb: 46.4%
Blocks (L5) +24.1% more
Lipscomb: 3.0 vs Queens University: 2.2
Assists (L5) +24.0% more
Lipscomb: 18.4 vs Queens University: 14.0
Turnovers (L5) +22.5% more
Lipscomb: 11.3 vs Queens University: 8.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LIP Score 57.0 81
QUC Score 75.0 87
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.8 / 37.2 41.0 / 26.0
Assists 14.0 / 18.4 20.0 / 12.0
Blocks 2.2 / 3.0 7.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 50.3 / 46.4 58.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 73.8 / 82.3 67.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 31.5 / 33.6 29.0 / 35.0
Steals 6.5 / 6.8 9.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 8.7 / 11.3 18.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
28%TICKETS72%
25%MONEY75%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
29%MONEY71%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
85%MONEY15%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LIP
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
QUC Advantage
21-14-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: +0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LIP Advantage
14-16-0 (46.7%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
QUC
14-19-1 (42.4%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: +0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
LIP
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.9
QUC
22-12-0
O: 64.7% / U: 35.3% Total +/-: +5.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
QUC
LIP
QUC
LIP
ML
71% 25-10
71% 22-9
71% 24-10
66% 19-10
ATS
86% 30-5
71% 22-9
71% 24-10
66% 19-10
TTL
47% 16-18-1
58% 18-13
100% 34-0
100% 29-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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