NORTH FLORIDA
OSPREYSUNF
6-20 | Road
56
JACKSONVILLE
DOLPHINSJAX
9-17 | Home
63
AI Model Win Probability
OSPREYS
100%
DOLPHINS
0%
OSPREYS
--
DOLPHINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
209.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
JACKSONVILLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Jacksonville)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around JAX -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (JAX)
UNF By 1-7 points
24.3%
UNF By 8-14 points
13.7%
JAX By 1-7 points
26.2%
JAX By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
North Florida
104
NORTH FLORIDA
Jacksonville
105
JACKSONVILLE
Simulated Score
North Florida
68
NORTH FLORIDA
Jacksonville
72
JACKSONVILLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Dolphins
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Dolphins
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Dolphins (+7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Dolphins (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o153.5
Loss
Proj Total: 209.0
D
Sim
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
JAX @ UNF
85 - 61
Feb 14, 2026
UNF @ JAX
56 - 63
Feb 20, 2025
JAX @ UNF
73 - 77
Feb 1, 2025
UNF @ JAX
81 - 78
Feb 23, 2024
UNF @ JAX
50 - 62
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+115.6% more
Jacksonville: 2.4
vs
North Florida: 1.1
Steals (L5)
+73.2% more
Jacksonville: 5.2
vs
North Florida: 3.0
Assists (L5)
+38.5% more
North Florida: 13.9
vs
Jacksonville: 8.6
Turnovers (L5)
+15.1% more
North Florida: 12.6
vs
Jacksonville: 10.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UNF Score
104.0
56
JAX Score
105.0
63
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
25.5 / 38.2
35.0 / 37.0
Assists
8.6 / 13.9
9.0 / 11.0
Blocks
2.4 / 1.1
4.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
43.3 / 44.4
43.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
73.8 / 75.8
79.0 / 50.0
Rebounding
34.6 / 35.2
25.0 / 28.0
Steals
5.2 / 3.0
7.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
10.7 / 12.6
8.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNF
7-25-0
(21.9%)
Margin: -8.6
ATS +/-: +1.1
JAX
Advantage
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNF
Advantage
17-12-0
(58.6%)
Margin: -8.6
ATS +/-: +1.1
JAX
12-18-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
UNF
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: +3.5
JAX
12-18-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
JAX
UNF
JAX
UNF
ML
74%
23-8
69%
22-10
60%
18-12
66%
21-11
ATS
65%
20-11
69%
22-10
61%
19-12
66%
21-11
TTL
65%
20-11
66%
21-11
100%
31-0
100%
32-0
Contextual Game News
Jon Scheyer Turned Down NBA Interest to Chase Duke Glory
Jon Scheyer Explains Decision to Remain at Duke Despite NBA Inte…
Jon Scheyer Reveals Why He Stayed at Duke Despite Mavericks' Pur…
Boyd County Duo's Unforgettable Encounter with Larry Bird at His…
How Jaxon Kohler's Versatile Game Elevates BYU's Frontcourt