Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Great Danes @ Bearcats UALB @ BING

UALBANY

GREAT DANESUALB

8-17  |  Road

77
FINAL
Sat, Feb 14 • 4:00 PM ET
Events Center (Binghamton)
View Odds Details →

BINGHAMTON

BEARCATSBING

5-21  |  Home

74
AI Model Win Probability
GREAT DANES
100%
📊
BEARCATS
0%
GREAT DANES --
BEARCATS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
110.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
BINGHAMTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Binghamton)
Great DanesUALB (-3.5) 0 BearcatsBING (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Great Danes Cover

11.5%

Bearcats Cover

88.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BING -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BING)

UALB By 1-7 points

8.0%

UALB By 8-14 points

2.2%

BING By 1-7 points

20.1%

BING By 8-14 points

27.2%

AI Model Projected Score
49
UALBANY
61
BINGHAMTON
Simulated Score
68
UALBANY
72
BINGHAMTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bearcats Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bearcats Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bearcats (+4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim Bearcats (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u137.0 Loss
Proj Total: 110.0
D
Sim u137.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 14, 2026 UALB @ BING 77 - 74
Jan 15, 2026 BING @ UALB 53 - 69
Mar 8, 2025 BING @ UALB 66 - 69
Feb 1, 2025 BING @ UALB 65 - 61
Jan 18, 2025 UALB @ BING 70 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +11.0%
Binghamton: 73.2% vs UAlbany: 62.2%
Turnovers (L5) +8.0% more
Binghamton: 10.8 vs UAlbany: 10.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.0%
Binghamton: 36.7% vs UAlbany: 32.7%
Blocks (L5) +74.8% more
UAlbany: 5.2 vs Binghamton: 1.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UALB Score 49.0 77
BING Score 61.0 74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.7 / 32.7 37.0 / 38.0
Assists 11.0 / 12.6 11.0 / 11.0
Blocks 1.3 / 5.2 5.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 42.6 / 46.8 45.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 73.2 / 62.2 79.0 / 77.0
Rebounding 31.0 / 29.5 26.0 / 37.0
Steals 4.0 / 8.8 11.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 10.8 / 10.0 11.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UALB Advantage
11-21-0 (34.4%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
BING
8-23-0 (25.8%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -1.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UALB
11-18-0 (37.9%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
BING Advantage
14-13-0 (51.8%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -1.7
⚖️ Over/Under
UALB
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: +0.3
BING
15-12-0
O: 55.6% / U: 44.4% Total +/-: +5.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BING
UALB
BING
UALB
ML
67% 20-10
55% 17-14
57% 17-13
71% 22-9
ATS
73% 22-8
77% 24-7
57% 17-13
72% 23-9
TTL
70% 21-9
61% 19-12
100% 30-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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