AI Model Win Probability
HIGHLANDERS
0%
BLACK BEARS
100%
HIGHLANDERS
--
BLACK BEARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
175.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-27.0
NJIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +27.0 points (NJIT)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NJIT -27.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NJIT)
NJIT By 1-7 points
2.2%
NJIT By 8-14 points
8.0%
ME By 1-7 points
0.3%
ME By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
NJIT
101
NJIT
Maine
74
MAINE
Simulated Score
NJIT
69
NJIT
Maine
74
MAINE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Highlanders
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Black Bears
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Highlanders (+1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Sim
Black Bears (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o137.5
Loss
Proj Total: 175.0
D
Sim
u137.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
ME @ NJIT
58 - 60
Feb 14, 2026
NJIT @ ME
67 - 58
Jan 10, 2026
ME @ NJIT
74 - 70
Feb 6, 2025
NJIT @ ME
74 - 78
Jan 16, 2025
ME @ NJIT
57 - 44
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+53.6% more
NJIT: 5.2
vs
Maine: 2.4
Rebounding (L5)
+31.2% more
NJIT: 36.0
vs
Maine: 24.7
Steals (L5)
+23.0% more
NJIT: 8.5
vs
Maine: 6.5
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.9%
NJIT: 47.9%
vs
Maine: 45.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NJIT Score
101.0
67
ME Score
74.0
58
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.1 / 30.6
21.0 / 27.0
Assists
14.2 / 12.9
13.0 / 13.0
Blocks
2.4 / 5.2
0.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
45.1 / 47.9
37.0 / 55.0
Free Throw %
67.3 / 69.4
67.0 / 50.0
Rebounding
24.7 / 36.0
29.0 / 34.0
Steals
6.5 / 8.5
10.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
9.8 / 7.4
15.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NJIT
Advantage
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: +1.2
ME
8-24-0
(25.0%)
Margin: -5.9
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NJIT
Advantage
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: +1.2
ME
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -5.9
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
NJIT
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3%
Total +/-: -2.5
ME
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3%
Total +/-: -2.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ME
NJIT
ME
NJIT
ML
45%
14-17
78%
25-7
52%
16-15
62%
20-12
ATS
55%
17-14
72%
23-9
52%
16-15
62%
20-12
TTL
55%
17-14
47%
15-17
100%
31-0
100%
32-0