Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Black Knights @ Eagles ARMY @ AMER

ARMY

BLACK KNIGHTSARMY

10-16  |  Road

63
FINAL
Sat, Feb 14 • 2:00 PM ET
Bender Arena
View Odds Details →

AMERICAN UNIVERSITY

EAGLESAMER

13-13  |  Home

75
AI Model Win Probability
BLACK KNIGHTS
0%
📊
EAGLES
100%
BLACK KNIGHTS --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
ARMY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Army)
Black KnightsARMY (-3.5) 0 EaglesAMER (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Black Knights Cover

88.5%

Eagles Cover

11.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ARMY -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ARMY)

ARMY By 1-7 points

20.1%

ARMY By 8-14 points

27.2%

AMER By 1-7 points

8.0%

AMER By 8-14 points

2.2%

AI Model Projected Score
76
ARMY
64
AMERICAN UNIVERSITY
Simulated Score
68
ARMY
72
AMERICAN UNIVERSITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Black Knights Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Black Knights (-9.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim Eagles (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u144.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim u144.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 14, 2026 ARMY @ AMER 63 - 75
Jan 18, 2026 AMER @ ARMY 78 - 67
Feb 19, 2025 AMER @ ARMY 69 - 76
Feb 1, 2025 ARMY @ AMER 68 - 71
Feb 28, 2024 AMER @ ARMY 73 - 51
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +50.0% more
Army: 2.1 vs American University: 1.0
Field Goal % (L5) +4.5%
American University: 42.2% vs Army: 37.7%
Free Throw % (L5) +2.0%
American University: 71.8% vs Army: 69.8%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +1.6%
American University: 32.4% vs Army: 30.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ARMY Score 76.0 63
AMER Score 64.0 75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.4 / 30.9 33.0 / 39.0
Assists 12.8 / 13.3 12.0 / 15.0
Blocks 1.0 / 2.1 2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 42.2 / 37.7 53.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 71.8 / 69.8 76.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 31.4 / 33.5 27.0 / 31.0
Steals 7.1 / 6.6 7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 10.7 / 10.9 11.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ARMY
11-21-0 (34.4%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -1.6
AMER Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.3 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ARMY
12-18-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -1.6
AMER Advantage
16-14-0 (53.3%)
Margin: 3.3 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
ARMY
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: +3.3
AMER
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
AMER
ARMY
AMER
ARMY
ML
62% 20-12
44% 14-18
62% 20-12
50% 16-16
ATS
59% 19-13
44% 14-18
62% 20-12
50% 16-16
TTL
59% 19-13
81% 26-6
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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