ST. THOMAS-MINNESOTA
TOMMIESSTMN
20-7 | Road
104
KANSAS CITY
ROOSKC
4-21 | Home
64
AI Model Win Probability
TOMMIES
0%
ROOS
100%
TOMMIES
--
ROOS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
162.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
ST. THOMAS-MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (St. Thomas-Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around STMN -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STMN)
STMN By 1-7 points
10.7%
STMN By 8-14 points
21.6%
KC By 1-7 points
2.7%
KC By 8-14 points
0.5%
AI Model Projected Score
St. Thomas-Minnesota
90
ST. THOMAS-MINNESOTA
Kansas City
72
KANSAS CITY
Simulated Score
St. Thomas-Minnesota
68
ST. THOMAS-MINNESOTA
Kansas City
73
KANSAS CITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Tommies
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Roos
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Tommies (-6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim
Roos (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o138.5
Win
Proj Total: 162.0
D
Sim
u138.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 14, 2026
STMN @ KC
104 - 64
Feb 1, 2026
KC @ STMN
64 - 99
Mar 1, 2025
KC @ STMN
59 - 65
Jan 25, 2025
STMN @ KC
68 - 65
Feb 3, 2024
STMN @ KC
71 - 56
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+41.0% more
St. Thomas-Minnesota: 16.6
vs
Kansas City: 9.8
Steals (L5)
+30.6% more
St. Thomas-Minnesota: 7.6
vs
Kansas City: 5.3
Field Goal % (L5)
+14.9%
St. Thomas-Minnesota: 54.2%
vs
Kansas City: 39.2%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+9.2%
St. Thomas-Minnesota: 38.9%
vs
Kansas City: 29.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
STMN Score
90.0
104
KC Score
72.0
64
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.6 / 38.9
16.0 / 48.0
Assists
9.8 / 16.6
15.0 / 23.0
Blocks
4.6 / 1.9
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
39.2 / 54.2
45.0 / 58.0
Free Throw %
65.2 / 62.6
100.0 / 63.0
Rebounding
36.1 / 31.9
25.0 / 38.0
Steals
5.3 / 7.6
5.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
12.8 / 9.0
12.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
STMN
Advantage
24-10-0
(70.6%)
Margin: 10.2
ATS +/-: +0.8
KC
4-27-0
(12.9%)
Margin: -14.5
ATS +/-: -6.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
STMN
Advantage
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: 10.2
ATS +/-: +0.8
KC
5-23-0
(17.9%)
Margin: -14.5
ATS +/-: -6.4
⚖️ Over/Under
STMN
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: -0.3
KC
16-12-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9%
Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KC
STMN
KC
STMN
ML
63%
19-11
64%
21-12
67%
20-10
64%
21-12
ATS
67%
20-10
70%
23-10
67%
20-10
64%
21-12
TTL
70%
21-9
61%
20-13
100%
30-0
100%
33-0
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