SOUTHERN
JAGUARSSOU
11-13 | Road
87
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
PANTHERSPV
9-15 | Home
82
AI Model Win Probability
JAGUARS
100%
PANTHERS
0%
JAGUARS
--
PANTHERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
159.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Prairie View A&M)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PV -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PV)
SOU By 1-7 points
4.8%
SOU By 8-14 points
1.1%
PV By 1-7 points
15.3%
PV By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Southern
72
SOUTHERN
Prairie View A&M
87
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
Simulated Score
Southern
70
SOUTHERN
Prairie View A&M
74
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Panthers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Panthers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Panthers (+4.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim
Panthers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u159.5
Loss
Proj Total: 159.0
D
Sim
u159.5
Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 14, 2026
PV @ SOU
72 - 66
Feb 14, 2026
SOU @ PV
87 - 82
Jan 5, 2026
PV @ SOU
89 - 85
Feb 15, 2025
PV @ SOU
60 - 72
Jan 6, 2025
SOU @ PV
84 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+29.2% more
Prairie View A&M: 12.6
vs
Southern: 9.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+1.6%
Prairie View A&M: 31.0%
vs
Southern: 29.5%
Blocks (L5)
+56.6% more
Southern: 6.1
vs
Prairie View A&M: 2.7
Assists (L5)
+38.2% more
Southern: 15.6
vs
Prairie View A&M: 9.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SOU Score
72.0
87
PV Score
87.0
82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.0 / 29.5
33.0 / 25.0
Assists
9.7 / 15.6
11.0 / 15.0
Blocks
2.7 / 6.1
4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
44.9 / 43.8
44.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
73.9 / 73.4
78.0 / 76.0
Rebounding
32.1 / 36.0
25.0 / 36.0
Steals
9.0 / 9.3
3.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
12.6 / 9.8
12.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SOU
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.7
ATS +/-: -1.6
PV
Advantage
19-18-0
(51.3%)
Margin: 1.4
ATS +/-: +2.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SOU
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: 1.7
ATS +/-: -1.6
PV
Advantage
22-10-0
(68.8%)
Margin: 1.4
ATS +/-: +2.7
⚖️ Over/Under
SOU
20-11-0
O: 64.5% / U: 35.5%
Total +/-: +4.7
PV
12-20-0
O: 37.5% / U: 62.5%
Total +/-: -2.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PV
SOU
PV
SOU
ML
59%
20-14
67%
22-11
68%
21-10
70%
21-9
ATS
56%
19-15
64%
21-12
68%
21-10
70%
21-9
TTL
50%
17-17
42%
14-19
100%
31-0
100%
30-0
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