SAM HOUSTON
BEARKATSSHSU
16-8 | Road
83
KENNESAW STATE
OWLSKENN
14-10 | Home
79
AI Model Win Probability
BEARKATS
0%
OWLS
100%
BEARKATS
--
OWLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
184.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
SAM HOUSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Sam Houston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SHSU -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SHSU)
SHSU By 1-7 points
26.8%
SHSU By 8-14 points
24.3%
KENN By 1-7 points
16.9%
KENN By 8-14 points
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Sam Houston
95
SAM HOUSTON
Kennesaw State
89
KENNESAW STATE
Simulated Score
Sam Houston
72
SAM HOUSTON
Kennesaw State
75
KENNESAW STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bearkats
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Owls
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bearkats (-1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Owls (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o163.5
Loss
Proj Total: 184.0
D
Sim
u163.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 13, 2026
KENN @ SHSU
79 - 73
Feb 14, 2026
SHSU @ KENN
83 - 79
Jan 21, 2026
KENN @ SHSU
87 - 93
Feb 15, 2025
KENN @ SHSU
76 - 78
Jan 16, 2025
SHSU @ KENN
69 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+23.3% more
Sam Houston: 12.5
vs
Kennesaw State: 9.6
Steals (L5)
+12.7% more
Sam Houston: 6.9
vs
Kennesaw State: 6.0
Assists (L5)
+9.2% more
Sam Houston: 13.9
vs
Kennesaw State: 12.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.3%
Sam Houston: 38.9%
vs
Kennesaw State: 33.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SHSU Score
95.0
83
KENN Score
89.0
79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.6 / 38.9
42.0 / 41.0
Assists
12.6 / 13.9
16.0 / 14.0
Blocks
4.3 / 2.8
2.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
42.7 / 44.6
48.0 / 55.0
Free Throw %
66.5 / 69.6
69.0 / 74.0
Rebounding
34.4 / 37.1
29.0 / 28.0
Steals
6.0 / 6.9
7.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
9.6 / 12.5
9.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SHSU
Advantage
22-12-0
(64.7%)
Margin: 7.1
ATS +/-: +3.5
KENN
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 6.8
ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SHSU
Advantage
20-11-0
(64.5%)
Margin: 7.1
ATS +/-: +3.5
KENN
15-16-1
(48.4%)
Margin: 6.8
ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
SHSU
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +2.2
KENN
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KENN
SHSU
KENN
SHSU
ML
74%
25-9
55%
18-15
72%
23-9
74%
23-8
ATS
71%
24-10
64%
21-12
73%
24-9
74%
23-8
TTL
56%
19-15
48%
16-17
100%
33-0
100%
31-0
