LOYOLA MARYMOUNT
LIONSLMU
13-14 | Road
89
PEPPERDINE
WAVESPEPP
6-20 | Home
90
AI Model Win Probability
LIONS
100%
WAVES
0%
LIONS
--
WAVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
PEPPERDINE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Pepperdine)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PEPP -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PEPP)
LMU By 1-7 points
2.7%
LMU By 8-14 points
0.5%
PEPP By 1-7 points
10.7%
PEPP By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Loyola Marymount
62
LOYOLA MARYMOUNT
Pepperdine
80
PEPPERDINE
Simulated Score
Loyola Marymount
72
LOYOLA MARYMOUNT
Pepperdine
75
PEPPERDINE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Waves
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Waves
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Waves (+5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim
Waves (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u147.5
Loss
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim
u147.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 14, 2026
LMU @ PEPP
89 - 90
Feb 22, 2025
PEPP @ LMU
82 - 93
Feb 11, 2025
LMU @ PEPP
69 - 60
Feb 10, 2024
PEPP @ LMU
72 - 63
Jan 20, 2024
LMU @ PEPP
68 - 61
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+41.9% more
Pepperdine: 5.1
vs
Loyola Marymount: 3.6
Steals (L5)
+31.6% more
Pepperdine: 6.3
vs
Loyola Marymount: 4.8
Assists (L5)
+26.6% more
Pepperdine: 11.5
vs
Loyola Marymount: 9.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.7%
Pepperdine: 31.5%
vs
Loyola Marymount: 28.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LMU Score
62.0
89
PEPP Score
80.0
90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.5 / 28.8
56.0 / 43.0
Assists
11.5 / 9.1
19.0 / 14.0
Blocks
5.1 / 3.6
2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
38.5 / 46.3
53.0 / 52.0
Free Throw %
67.8 / 77.0
72.0 / 65.0
Rebounding
30.5 / 30.8
33.0 / 31.0
Steals
6.3 / 4.8
2.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
12.5 / 11.9
11.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LMU
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -1.4
PEPP
9-23-0
(28.1%)
Margin: -7.3
ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LMU
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -1.4
PEPP
Advantage
14-16-0
(46.7%)
Margin: -7.3
ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
LMU
15-16-0
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6%
Total +/-: -0.9
PEPP
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +2.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PEPP
LMU
PEPP
LMU
ML
62%
20-12
53%
17-15
69%
22-10
50%
16-16
ATS
56%
18-14
47%
15-17
69%
22-10
50%
16-16
TTL
50%
16-16
62%
20-12
100%
32-0
100%
32-0
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