AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN GOPHERS
0%
HUSKIES
100%
GOLDEN GOPHERS
--
HUSKIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
127.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MINN -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MINN)
MINN By 1-7 points
21.6%
MINN By 8-14 points
27.4%
WASH By 1-7 points
9.3%
WASH By 8-14 points
2.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
69
MINNESOTA
Washington
58
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
Minnesota
73
MINNESOTA
Washington
78
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Golden Gophers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Huskies
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Golden Gophers (-6.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
Huskies (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u138.5
Win
Proj Total: 127.0
D
Sim
u138.5
Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 14, 2026
MINN @ WASH
57 - 69
Feb 1, 2025
WASH @ MINN
71 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+16.6% more
Minnesota: 15.9
vs
Washington: 13.3
Steals (L5)
+9.9% more
Minnesota: 5.4
vs
Washington: 4.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.1%
Minnesota: 38.6%
vs
Washington: 34.5%
Blocks (L5)
+93.2% more
Washington: 4.3
vs
Minnesota: 2.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MINN Score
69.0
57
WASH Score
58.0
69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.5 / 38.6
31.0 / 25.0
Assists
13.3 / 15.9
11.0 / 9.0
Blocks
4.3 / 2.2
3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
45.5 / 45.7
63.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
69.2 / 66.1
54.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
34.7 / 27.7
30.0 / 21.0
Steals
4.8 / 5.4
9.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
11.8 / 9.2
13.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MINN
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: -1.1
WASH
Advantage
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: 3.5
ATS +/-: +0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MINN
14-18-1
(43.8%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: -1.1
WASH
Advantage
20-13-0
(60.6%)
Margin: 3.5
ATS +/-: +0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
MINN
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: -3.9
WASH
15-17-1
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: -0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WASH
MINN
WASH
MINN
ML
45%
15-18
48%
16-17
66%
21-11
71%
22-9
ATS
48%
16-17
55%
18-15
66%
21-11
71%
22-9
TTL
70%
23-10
52%
17-16
100%
32-0
100%
31-0