Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Titans @ Anteaters CSUF @ UCI

CAL STATE FULLERTON

TITANSCSUF

13-13  |  Road

65
FINAL
Sat, Feb 14 • 10:00 PM ET
Bren Events Center
View Odds Details →

UC IRVINE

ANTEATERSUCI

16-9  |  Home

86
AI Model Win Probability
TITANS
100%
📊
ANTEATERS
0%
TITANS --
ANTEATERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
129.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
UC IRVINE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (UC Irvine)
TitansCSUF (-3.5) 0 AnteatersUCI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Titans Cover

46.0%

Anteaters Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UCI -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UCI)

CSUF By 1-7 points

24.3%

CSUF By 8-14 points

13.7%

UCI By 1-7 points

26.2%

UCI By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
64
CAL STATE FULLERTON
65
UC IRVINE
Simulated Score
63
CAL STATE FULLERTON
72
UC IRVINE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Anteaters Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Anteaters Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Anteaters (+7.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Anteaters (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u154.5 Win
Proj Total: 129.0
D
Sim u154.5 Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 14, 2026 CSUF @ UCI 65 - 86
Jan 3, 2026 UCI @ CSUF 86 - 64
Feb 27, 2025 UCI @ CSUF 76 - 51
Jan 16, 2025 CSUF @ UCI 62 - 82
Mar 9, 2024 UCI @ CSUF 81 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +85.0% more
UC Irvine: 5.6 vs Cal State Fullerton: 3.0
Steals (L5) +23.2% more
UC Irvine: 10.1 vs Cal State Fullerton: 8.2
Turnovers (L5) +18.1% more
UC Irvine: 13.2 vs Cal State Fullerton: 11.1
Rebounding (L5) +9.4% more
UC Irvine: 39.3 vs Cal State Fullerton: 35.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CSUF Score 64.0 65
UCI Score 65.0 86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.3 / 34.3 42.0 / 31.0
Assists 15.1 / 14.2 21.0 / 18.0
Blocks 5.6 / 3.0 3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 42.9 / 44.6 57.0 / 37.0
Free Throw % 73.1 / 77.6 60.0 / 56.0
Rebounding 39.3 / 35.9 42.0 / 27.0
Steals 10.1 / 8.2 6.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 13.2 / 11.1 15.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
23%MONEY77%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
26%TICKETS74%
42%MONEY58%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
75%MONEY25%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CSUF
18-16-0 (52.9%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-: +3.0
UCI Advantage
23-12-0 (65.7%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CSUF Advantage
19-11-2 (63.3%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-: +3.0
UCI
16-16-1 (50.0%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
CSUF
13-19-0
O: 40.6% / U: 59.4% Total +/-: +0.6
UCI
12-21-0
O: 36.4% / U: 63.6% Total +/-: -2.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UCI
CSUF
UCI
CSUF
ML
57% 20-15
68% 23-11
53% 18-16
76% 26-8
ATS
63% 22-13
68% 23-11
53% 18-16
76% 26-8
TTL
57% 20-15
59% 20-14
100% 34-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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