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SOUTH DAKOTA STATE

JACKRABBITSSDST

11-15  |  Road

87
FINAL
Sat, Feb 14 • 8:00 PM ET
Mabee Center
View Odds Details →

ORAL ROBERTS

GOLDEN EAGLESORU

6-20  |  Home

69
AI Model Win Probability
JACKRABBITS
0%
📊
GOLDEN EAGLES
100%
JACKRABBITS --
GOLDEN EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
130.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (South Dakota State)
JackrabbitsSDST (-3.5) 0 Golden EaglesORU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Jackrabbits Cover

72.6%

Golden Eagles Cover

27.4%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SDST -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SDST)

SDST By 1-7 points

26.8%

SDST By 8-14 points

24.3%

ORU By 1-7 points

16.9%

ORU By 8-14 points

6.8%

AI Model Projected Score
68
SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
62
ORAL ROBERTS
Simulated Score
83
SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
78
ORAL ROBERTS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Jackrabbits Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Jackrabbits Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Jackrabbits (+5.5) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim Jackrabbits (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u147.5 Loss
Proj Total: 130.0
D
Sim u147.5 Win
Proj Total: 161.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 14, 2026 SDST @ ORU 87 - 69
Jan 31, 2026 ORU @ SDST 72 - 95
Feb 27, 2025 SDST @ ORU 77 - 69
Jan 18, 2025 ORU @ SDST 70 - 84
Mar 9, 2024 ORU @ SDST 63 - 79
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +28.1% more
South Dakota State: 4.9 vs Oral Roberts: 3.5
Free Throw % (L5) +5.5%
South Dakota State: 77.4% vs Oral Roberts: 71.9%
Field Goal % (L5) +4.5%
South Dakota State: 44.0% vs Oral Roberts: 39.5%
Blocks (L5) +77.1% more
Oral Roberts: 4.7 vs South Dakota State: 2.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SDST Score 68.0 87
ORU Score 62.0 69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 28.1 / 27.5 33.0 / 52.0
Assists 10.7 / 9.8 15.0 / 14.0
Blocks 4.7 / 2.7 3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 39.5 / 44.0 40.0 / 52.0
Free Throw % 71.9 / 77.4 93.0 / 93.0
Rebounding 39.2 / 34.3 32.0 / 33.0
Steals 3.5 / 4.9 2.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 10.6 / 8.5 15.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
95%TICKETS5%
86%MONEY14%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
90%MONEY10%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
95%MONEY5%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SDST Advantage
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: 2.6 ATS +/-: -1.8
ORU
10-23-0 (30.3%)
Margin: -4.2 ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SDST
12-16-1 (42.9%)
Margin: 2.6 ATS +/-: -1.8
ORU Advantage
14-16-0 (46.7%)
Margin: -4.2 ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
SDST
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: 0.0
ORU
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORU
SDST
ORU
SDST
ML
85% 28-5
75% 24-8
73% 24-9
53% 17-15
ATS
82% 27-6
78% 25-7
73% 24-9
53% 17-15
TTL
61% 20-13
53% 17-15
100% 33-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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