AI Model Win Probability
COWBOYS
100%
RAMS
0%
COWBOYS
--
RAMS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
151.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
COLORADO STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Colorado State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CSU -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CSU)
WYO By 1-7 points
1.4%
WYO By 8-14 points
0.2%
CSU By 1-7 points
6.8%
CSU By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Wyoming
65
WYOMING
Colorado State
86
COLORADO STATE
Simulated Score
Wyoming
71
WYOMING
Colorado State
73
COLORADO STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rams
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rams
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rams (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim
Rams (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o137.5
Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Sim
u137.5
Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 14, 2026
WYO @ CSU
68 - 79
Jan 31, 2026
CSU @ WYO
57 - 68
Feb 15, 2025
WYO @ CSU
53 - 88
Jan 18, 2025
CSU @ WYO
79 - 63
Mar 2, 2024
WYO @ CSU
62 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+9.6% more
Colorado State: 14.7
vs
Wyoming: 13.4
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.2%
Colorado State: 45.7%
vs
Wyoming: 40.5%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.1%
Colorado State: 36.7%
vs
Wyoming: 33.6%
Blocks (L5)
+22.0% more
Wyoming: 2.4
vs
Colorado State: 1.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WYO Score
65.0
68
CSU Score
86.0
79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.7 / 33.6
46.0 / 31.0
Assists
14.7 / 13.4
13.0 / 11.0
Blocks
1.8 / 2.4
9.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
45.7 / 40.5
62.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
75.6 / 80.5
83.0 / 63.0
Rebounding
32.6 / 30.8
30.0 / 27.0
Steals
5.2 / 6.3
4.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
10.7 / 10.5
11.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WYO
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
CSU
Advantage
21-13-0
(61.8%)
Margin: 4.6
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WYO
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
CSU
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 4.6
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
WYO
16-16-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.7
CSU
17-16-0
O: 51.5% / U: 48.5%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CSU
WYO
CSU
WYO
ML
56%
19-15
52%
17-16
65%
20-11
70%
23-10
ATS
62%
21-13
64%
21-12
65%
20-11
70%
23-10
TTL
56%
19-15
64%
21-12
100%
31-0
100%
33-0