Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Golden Eagles @ Screaming Eagles TNTC @ USI

TENNESSEE TECH

GOLDEN EAGLESTNTC

10-16  |  Road

82
FINAL
Sat, Feb 14 • 5:00 PM ET
Liberty Arena (IN)
View Odds Details →

SOUTHERN INDIANA

SCREAMING EAGLESUSI

5-20  |  Home

74
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN EAGLES
100%
📊
SCREAMING EAGLES
0%
GOLDEN EAGLES --
SCREAMING EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
102.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
SOUTHERN INDIANA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (Southern Indiana)
Golden EaglesTNTC (-3.5) 0 Screaming EaglesUSI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Eagles Cover

2.3%

Screaming Eagles Cover

97.7%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around USI -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (USI)

TNTC By 1-7 points

1.7%

TNTC By 8-14 points

0.3%

USI By 1-7 points

8.0%

USI By 8-14 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
41
TENNESSEE TECH
61
SOUTHERN INDIANA
Simulated Score
68
TENNESSEE TECH
72
SOUTHERN INDIANA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Screaming Eagles Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Screaming Eagles Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Screaming Eagles (-1) Loss
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim Screaming Eagles (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u139.5 Loss
Proj Total: 102.0
D
Sim u139.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 14, 2026 TNTC @ USI 82 - 74
Jan 15, 2026 USI @ TNTC 71 - 54
Feb 1, 2025 TNTC @ USI 78 - 65
Jan 2, 2025 USI @ TNTC 64 - 68
Feb 1, 2024 USI @ TNTC 74 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +175.7% more
Southern Indiana: 2.8 vs Tennessee Tech: 1.0
Steals (L5) +46.6% more
Southern Indiana: 7.3 vs Tennessee Tech: 5.0
Assists (L5) +36.1% more
Tennessee Tech: 12.6 vs Southern Indiana: 8.1
Free Throw % (L5) +15.8%
Tennessee Tech: 76.9% vs Southern Indiana: 61.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TNTC Score 41.0 82
USI Score 61.0 74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 27.4 / 32.4 44.0 / 33.0
Assists 8.1 / 12.6 8.0 / 7.0
Blocks 2.8 / 1.0 1.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 38.4 / 44.2 41.0 / 54.0
Free Throw % 61.1 / 76.9 74.0 / 79.0
Rebounding 34.5 / 34.5 28.0 / 37.0
Steals 7.3 / 5.0 6.0 / 2.0
Turnovers 12.5 / 12.2 8.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
13%MONEY87%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
66%MONEY34%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
38%MONEY62%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TNTC Advantage
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.4
USI
7-23-0 (23.3%)
Margin: -5.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TNTC Advantage
14-14-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.4
USI
11-16-1 (40.7%)
Margin: -5.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
TNTC
14-14-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.6
USI
11-17-0
O: 39.3% / U: 60.7% Total +/-: -3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
USI
TNTC
USI
TNTC
ML
67% 20-10
50% 15-15
61% 17-11
65% 15-8
ATS
70% 21-9
50% 15-15
61% 17-11
65% 15-8
TTL
73% 22-8
57% 17-13
100% 28-0
100% 23-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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