Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Wildcats @ Eagles WEB @ EWU

WEBER STATE

WILDCATSWEB

13-13  |  Road

66
FINAL
Sat, Feb 14 • 5:00 PM ET
Reese Court
View Odds Details →

EASTERN WASHINGTON

EAGLESEWU

8-17  |  Home

84
AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
0%
📊
EAGLES
100%
WILDCATS --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
144.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
WEBER STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Weber State)
WildcatsWEB (-3.5) 0 EaglesEWU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wildcats Cover

88.5%

Eagles Cover

11.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WEB -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WEB)

WEB By 1-7 points

20.1%

WEB By 8-14 points

27.2%

EWU By 1-7 points

8.0%

EWU By 8-14 points

2.2%

AI Model Projected Score
78
WEBER STATE
66
EASTERN WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
73
WEBER STATE
78
EASTERN WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Wildcats Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Wildcats (-5.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim Eagles (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o138.5 Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Sim u138.5 Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 9, 2026 WEB @ EWU 79 - 84
Feb 14, 2026 WEB @ EWU 66 - 84
Jan 15, 2026 EWU @ WEB 80 - 91
Feb 27, 2025 WEB @ EWU 66 - 64
Feb 1, 2025 EWU @ WEB 72 - 49
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +15.6% more
Weber State: 35.0 vs Eastern Washington: 29.5
Steals (L5) +8.3% more
Weber State: 5.5 vs Eastern Washington: 5.1
Blocks (L5) +294.0% more
Eastern Washington: 3.8 vs Weber State: 0.8
Turnovers (L5) +21.8% more
Eastern Washington: 9.9 vs Weber State: 8.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WEB Score 78.0 66
EWU Score 66.0 84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 40.2 / 38.7 41.0 / 16.0
Assists 14.3 / 12.2 17.0 / 8.0
Blocks 3.8 / 0.8 5.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 50.6 / 46.6 60.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 83.0 / 79.8 81.0 / 81.0
Rebounding 29.5 / 35.0 30.0 / 27.0
Steals 5.1 / 5.5 6.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 9.9 / 8.1 13.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
38%TICKETS62%
48%MONEY52%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
57%MONEY43%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
71%MONEY29%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WEB Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
EWU
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: +2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WEB
16-14-0 (53.3%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
EWU Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: +2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
WEB
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +3.7
EWU
19-13-0
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6% Total +/-: +3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EWU
WEB
EWU
WEB
ML
64% 21-12
73% 22-8
69% 22-10
73% 22-8
ATS
64% 21-12
63% 19-11
69% 22-10
74% 23-8
TTL
48% 16-17
83% 25-5
100% 32-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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